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Alabama at LSU: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 6:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Alabama by 7.5, Total Points: 171.5

Matchup Menu: ALA @ LSU

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Alabama -7.5 Official TR Pick Alabama 51% odds to cover
Alabama -7.5 Decision Tree Alabama 52% odds to cover
LSU +7.5 Power Rating Model LSU 62% odds to cover
LSU +7.5 Similar Games LSU 50% odds to cover
LSU +7.5 Predictive Ratings LSU 57% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALA adv LSU
Season 15-19-0 18-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-0 11-8-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-5-0 5-5-0
Home 6-9-0 7-10-0
Away 9-10-0 11-4-0

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home North Dakota -35.5 W by 29 -6.5
11/08 Away St John's -- W by 7 --
11/13 Home Purdue -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
11/19 Neutral Illinois +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
11/24 Neutral Gonzaga +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
11/25 Neutral UNLV -14.5 W by 39 +24.5
11/26 Neutral Maryland -14.5 W by 33 +18.5
12/03 Home Clemson -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
12/07 Home UTSA -33.5 W by 42 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Arizona +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
12/17 Home S Florida -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
12/21 Neutral Kennesaw St -20.0 W by 11 -9.0
12/29 Home Yale -15.0 W by 24 +9.0
01/03 Home Kentucky -5.5 W by 15 +9.5
01/07 Away Vanderbilt +3.0 L by 6 -3.0
01/10 Home Texas -11.5 L by 4 -15.5
01/13 Away Mississippi St -4.5 W by 15 +10.5
01/17 Away Oklahoma -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
01/24 Home Tennessee -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/27 Home Missouri -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
02/01 Away Florida +9.0 L by 23 -14.0
02/04 Home Texas A&M -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/07 Away Auburn +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/11 Away Mississippi -6.5 W by 19 +12.5
02/14 Home South Carolina -17.5 W by 14 -3.5
02/18 Home Arkansas -4.0 W by 2 -2.0
02/21 Away LSU -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
02/25 Home Mississippi St -12.5 W by 25 +12.5
02/28 Away Tennessee +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/03 Away Georgia -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
03/07 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 12 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Mississippi -12.5 L by 1 -13.5
03/20 Neutral Hofstra -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Texas Tech -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan +9.5 L by 13 -3.5

LSU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home Tarleton St -15.0 W by 36 +21.0
11/10 Home New Orleans -19.5 W by 35 +15.5
11/13 Home Florida Intl -21.5 W by 17 -4.5
11/18 Home Alcorn St -32.5 W by 26 -6.5
11/21 Home Omaha -21.0 W by 26 +5.0
11/28 Neutral Drake -11.5 W by 9 -2.5
11/29 Neutral DePaul -5.5 W by 33 +27.5
12/03 Away Boston College -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
12/07 Neutral Texas Tech +5.5 L by 24 -18.5
12/13 Neutral SMU -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/19 Home SE Louisiana -24.5 W by 13 -11.5
12/22 Home Prairie View -29.5 W by 14 -15.5
12/29 Home Southern Miss -21.5 W by 28 +6.5
01/03 Away Texas A&M +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/06 Home South Carolina -7.5 L by 10 -17.5
01/10 Away Vanderbilt +13.5 L by 11 +2.5
01/14 Home Kentucky +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/17 Home Missouri -1.0 W by 8 +7.0
01/20 Away Florida +15.5 L by 18 -2.5
01/24 Away Arkansas +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
01/28 Home Mississippi St -7.0 L by 14 -21.0
01/31 Away South Carolina -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/07 Home Georgia +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/10 Home Arkansas +4.5 L by 29 -24.5
02/14 Away Tennessee +14.5 L by 10 +4.5
02/17 Away Texas +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
02/21 Home Alabama +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/25 Away Mississippi +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/28 Home Oklahoma -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
03/03 Away Auburn +10.5 L by 14 -3.5
03/07 Home Texas A&M +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Kentucky +8.5 L by 5 +3.5