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Alabama at LSU: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 6:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Alabama by 7.5, Total Points: 171.5

Matchup Menu: ALA @ LSU

More Games From Feb 21, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 171.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 171.5	Similar Games	64% odds to go under
Under 171.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ALA	LSU
Season	17-16-1	15-15-2
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-8-1	8-9-2
Streak	Un 2	Ov 3
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	7-8-0	7-8-2
Away	10-8-1	8-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	North Dakota	170.5	91-62	Under	-17.5
11/08	Away	St John's	--	103-96	Under	--
11/13	Home	Purdue	172.5	80-87	Under	-5.5
11/19	Neutral	Illinois	181.5	90-86	Under	-5.5
11/24	Neutral	Gonzaga	178.5	85-95	Over	+1.5
11/25	Neutral	UNLV	181.0	115-76	Over	+10.0
11/26	Neutral	Maryland	166.5	105-72	Over	+10.5
12/03	Home	Clemson	166.0	90-84	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	UTSA	171.0	97-55	Under	-19.0
12/13	Neutral	Arizona	178.5	75-96	Under	-7.5
12/17	Home	S Florida	178.5	104-93	Over	+18.5
12/21	Neutral	Kennesaw St	182.5	92-81	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Yale	171.0	102-78	Over	+9.0
01/03	Home	Kentucky	174.0	89-74	Under	-11.0
01/07	Away	Vanderbilt	176.0	90-96	Over	+10.0
01/10	Home	Texas	177.5	88-92	Over	+2.5
01/13	Away	Mississippi St	171.5	97-82	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Oklahoma	176.0	83-81	Under	-12.0
01/24	Home	Tennessee	167.5	73-79	Under	-15.5
01/27	Home	Missouri	166.5	90-64	Under	-12.5
02/01	Away	Florida	177.0	77-100	Push	0.0
02/04	Home	Texas A&M	179.5	100-97	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Auburn	175.5	96-92	Over	+12.5
02/11	Away	Mississippi	163.0	93-74	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	South Carolina	168.0	89-75	Under	-4.0
02/18	Home	Arkansas	184.0	117-115	Over	+48.0
02/21	Away	LSU	171.5	90-83	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Mississippi St	176.5	100-75	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Tennessee	162.5	71-69	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	Georgia	179.5	88-98	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Auburn	175.5	96-84	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Mississippi	166.5	79-80	Under	-7.5
03/20	Neutral	Hofstra	158.5	90-70	Over	+1.5
03/22	Neutral	Texas Tech	164.5	90-65	Under	-9.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan	172.5	77-90	Under	-5.5

LSU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	Tarleton St	149.5	96-60	Over	+6.5
11/10	Home	New Orleans	162.5	93-58	Under	-11.5
11/13	Home	Florida Intl	158.5	98-81	Over	+20.5
11/18	Home	Alcorn St	156.5	107-81	Over	+31.5
11/21	Home	Omaha	163.5	99-73	Over	+8.5
11/28	Neutral	Drake	151.5	71-62	Under	-18.5
11/29	Neutral	DePaul	152.5	96-63	Over	+6.5
12/03	Away	Boston College	149.0	78-69	Under	-2.0
12/07	Neutral	Texas Tech	154.5	58-82	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	SMU	158.5	89-77	Over	+7.5
12/19	Home	SE Louisiana	145.0	78-65	Under	-2.0
12/22	Home	Prairie View	161.5	104-90	Over	+32.5
12/29	Home	Southern Miss	154.5	90-62	Under	-2.5
01/03	Away	Texas A&M	168.0	72-75	Under	-21.0
01/06	Home	South Carolina	146.0	68-78	Push	0.0
01/10	Away	Vanderbilt	159.0	73-84	Under	-2.0
01/14	Home	Kentucky	151.5	74-75	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Missouri	148.0	78-70	Push	0.0
01/20	Away	Florida	158.5	61-79	Under	-18.5
01/24	Away	Arkansas	164.5	81-85	Over	+1.5
01/28	Home	Mississippi St	154.5	66-80	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	South Carolina	148.5	92-87	Over	+30.5
02/07	Home	Georgia	162.0	71-83	Under	-8.0
02/10	Home	Arkansas	159.0	62-91	Under	-6.0
02/14	Away	Tennessee	143.5	63-73	Under	-7.5
02/17	Away	Texas	150.5	85-88	Over	+22.5
02/21	Home	Alabama	171.5	83-90	Over	+1.5
02/25	Away	Mississippi	148.5	106-99	Over	+56.5
02/28	Home	Oklahoma	156.5	67-83	Under	-6.5
03/03	Away	Auburn	155.5	74-88	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Texas A&M	160.5	91-94	Over	+24.5
03/11	Neutral	Kentucky	151.5	82-87	Over	+17.5