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Alabama at Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 7:00 pm - Oxford, MS
Odds: Alabama by 6.5, Total Points: 163

Matchup Menu: ALA @ MISS

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Mississippi +6.5 Official TR Pick Mississippi 51% odds to cover
Mississippi +6.5 Power Rating Model Mississippi 52% odds to cover
Mississippi +6.5 Decision Tree Mississippi 51% odds to cover
Mississippi +6.5 Predictive Ratings Mississippi 51% odds to cover
Alabama -6.5 Similar Games Alabama 68% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALA adv MISS
Season 15-19-0 15-20-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-0 12-10-0
Streak L1 W4
Last 5 3-2-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 7-3-0
Home 6-9-0 4-12-0
Away 9-10-0 11-8-0

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home North Dakota -35.5 W by 29 -6.5
11/08 Away St John's -- W by 7 --
11/13 Home Purdue -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
11/19 Neutral Illinois +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
11/24 Neutral Gonzaga +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
11/25 Neutral UNLV -14.5 W by 39 +24.5
11/26 Neutral Maryland -14.5 W by 33 +18.5
12/03 Home Clemson -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
12/07 Home UTSA -33.5 W by 42 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Arizona +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
12/17 Home S Florida -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
12/21 Neutral Kennesaw St -20.0 W by 11 -9.0
12/29 Home Yale -15.0 W by 24 +9.0
01/03 Home Kentucky -5.5 W by 15 +9.5
01/07 Away Vanderbilt +3.0 L by 6 -3.0
01/10 Home Texas -11.5 L by 4 -15.5
01/13 Away Mississippi St -4.5 W by 15 +10.5
01/17 Away Oklahoma -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
01/24 Home Tennessee -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/27 Home Missouri -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
02/01 Away Florida +9.0 L by 23 -14.0
02/04 Home Texas A&M -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/07 Away Auburn +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/11 Away Mississippi -6.5 W by 19 +12.5
02/14 Home South Carolina -17.5 W by 14 -3.5
02/18 Home Arkansas -4.0 W by 2 -2.0
02/21 Away LSU -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
02/25 Home Mississippi St -12.5 W by 25 +12.5
02/28 Away Tennessee +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/03 Away Georgia -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
03/07 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 12 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Mississippi -12.5 L by 1 -13.5
03/20 Neutral Hofstra -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Texas Tech -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan +9.5 L by 13 -3.5

Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home SE Louisiana -22.0 W by 30 +8.0
11/07 Home UL Monroe -38.0 W by 21 -17.0
11/11 Home Memphis -9.5 W by 6 -3.5
11/14 Home CS Bakersfield -23.0 W by 22 -1.0
11/18 Home Austin Peay -19.5 W by 7 -12.5
11/25 Neutral Iowa +4.5 L by 5 -0.5
11/26 Neutral Utah -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/02 Home Miami -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
12/06 Away St John's +13.5 L by 5 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Southern Miss -13.0 W by 4 -9.0
12/17 Neutral Alabama A&M -20.0 W by 14 -6.0
12/21 Neutral NC State +7.5 L by 14 -6.5
12/29 Home Alcorn St -28.5 W by 36 +7.5
01/03 Away Oklahoma +7.0 L by 16 -9.0
01/07 Home Arkansas +4.0 L by 7 -3.0
01/10 Home Missouri (Pick) W by 7 +7.0
01/14 Away Georgia +11.0 W by 2 +13.0
01/17 Away Mississippi St +4.0 W by 1 +5.0
01/20 Home Auburn +3.5 L by 12 -8.5
01/24 Away Kentucky +11.0 L by 9 +2.0
01/31 Away Vanderbilt +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
02/03 Away Tennessee +13.0 L by 18 -5.0
02/07 Away Texas +9.5 L by 11 -1.5
02/11 Home Alabama +6.5 L by 19 -12.5
02/14 Home Mississippi St -3.5 L by 12 -15.5
02/18 Away Texas A&M +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
02/21 Home Florida +13.5 L by 19 -5.5
02/25 Home LSU -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
02/28 Away Auburn +11.5 W by 6 +17.5
03/03 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 3 +4.5
03/07 Home South Carolina -6.5 L by 3 -9.5
03/11 Neutral Texas +5.5 W by 10 +15.5
03/12 Neutral Georgia +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
03/13 Neutral Alabama +12.5 W by 1 +13.5
03/14 Neutral Arkansas +8.5 L by 3 +5.5