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Alabama at Mississippi: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 11, 2026 7:00 pm - Oxford, MS
Odds: Alabama by 6.5, Total Points: 163

Matchup Menu: ALA @ MISS

More Games From Feb 11, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 163.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 163.0	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 163.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ALA	MISS
Season	17-16-1	21-14-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-8-1	14-8-0
Streak	Un 2	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	7-8-0	11-5-0
Away	10-8-1	10-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	North Dakota	170.5	91-62	Under	-17.5
11/08	Away	St John's	--	103-96	Under	--
11/13	Home	Purdue	172.5	80-87	Under	-5.5
11/19	Neutral	Illinois	181.5	90-86	Under	-5.5
11/24	Neutral	Gonzaga	178.5	85-95	Over	+1.5
11/25	Neutral	UNLV	181.0	115-76	Over	+10.0
11/26	Neutral	Maryland	166.5	105-72	Over	+10.5
12/03	Home	Clemson	166.0	90-84	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	UTSA	171.0	97-55	Under	-19.0
12/13	Neutral	Arizona	178.5	75-96	Under	-7.5
12/17	Home	S Florida	178.5	104-93	Over	+18.5
12/21	Neutral	Kennesaw St	182.5	92-81	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Yale	171.0	102-78	Over	+9.0
01/03	Home	Kentucky	174.0	89-74	Under	-11.0
01/07	Away	Vanderbilt	176.0	90-96	Over	+10.0
01/10	Home	Texas	177.5	88-92	Over	+2.5
01/13	Away	Mississippi St	171.5	97-82	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Oklahoma	176.0	83-81	Under	-12.0
01/24	Home	Tennessee	167.5	73-79	Under	-15.5
01/27	Home	Missouri	166.5	90-64	Under	-12.5
02/01	Away	Florida	177.0	77-100	Push	0.0
02/04	Home	Texas A&M	179.5	100-97	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Auburn	175.5	96-92	Over	+12.5
02/11	Away	Mississippi	163.0	93-74	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	South Carolina	168.0	89-75	Under	-4.0
02/18	Home	Arkansas	184.0	117-115	Over	+48.0
02/21	Away	LSU	171.5	90-83	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Mississippi St	176.5	100-75	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Tennessee	162.5	71-69	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	Georgia	179.5	88-98	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Auburn	175.5	96-84	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Mississippi	166.5	79-80	Under	-7.5
03/20	Neutral	Hofstra	158.5	90-70	Over	+1.5
03/22	Neutral	Texas Tech	164.5	90-65	Under	-9.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan	172.5	77-90	Under	-5.5

Mississippi Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	SE Louisiana	143.5	88-58	Over	+2.5
11/07	Home	UL Monroe	150.0	86-65	Over	+1.0
11/11	Home	Memphis	151.5	83-77	Over	+8.5
11/14	Home	CS Bakersfield	141.5	82-60	Over	+0.5
11/18	Home	Austin Peay	146.0	72-65	Under	-9.0
11/25	Neutral	Iowa	140.5	69-74	Over	+2.5
11/26	Neutral	Utah	144.5	74-75	Over	+4.5
12/02	Home	Miami	145.5	66-75	Under	-4.5
12/06	Away	St John's	151.0	58-63	Under	-30.0
12/13	Neutral	Southern Miss	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
12/17	Neutral	Alabama A&M	135.0	80-66	Over	+11.0
12/21	Neutral	NC State	148.5	62-76	Under	-10.5
12/29	Home	Alcorn St	148.5	79-43	Under	-26.5
01/03	Away	Oklahoma	146.5	70-86	Over	+9.5
01/07	Home	Arkansas	152.0	87-94	Over	+29.0
01/10	Home	Missouri	143.5	76-69	Over	+1.5
01/14	Away	Georgia	158.5	97-95	Over	+33.5
01/17	Away	Mississippi St	148.0	68-67	Under	-13.0
01/20	Home	Auburn	151.5	66-78	Under	-7.5
01/24	Away	Kentucky	145.5	63-72	Under	-10.5
01/31	Away	Vanderbilt	149.5	68-71	Under	-10.5
02/03	Away	Tennessee	140.5	66-84	Over	+9.5
02/07	Away	Texas	144.5	68-79	Over	+2.5
02/11	Home	Alabama	163.0	74-93	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	Mississippi St	144.0	78-90	Over	+24.0
02/18	Away	Texas A&M	155.0	77-80	Over	+2.0
02/21	Home	Florida	151.0	75-94	Over	+18.0
02/25	Home	LSU	148.5	99-106	Over	+56.5
02/28	Away	Auburn	153.5	85-79	Over	+10.5
03/03	Home	Vanderbilt	155.5	86-89	Over	+19.5
03/07	Home	South Carolina	147.5	61-64	Under	-22.5
03/11	Neutral	Texas	147.5	76-66	Under	-5.5
03/12	Neutral	Georgia	156.5	76-72	Under	-8.5
03/13	Neutral	Alabama	166.5	80-79	Under	-7.5
03/14	Neutral	Arkansas	159.5	90-93	Over	+23.5