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Alabama at Mississippi St: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Jan 13, 2026 9:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Alabama by 4.5, Total Points: 171.5

Matchup Menu: ALA @ MSST

More Games From Jan 13, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Mississippi St +4.5 Official TR Pick Mississippi St 51% odds to cover
Mississippi St +4.5 Decision Tree Mississippi St 52% odds to cover
Alabama -4.5 Power Rating Model Alabama 58% odds to cover
Alabama -4.5 Similar Games Alabama 59% odds to cover
Alabama -4.5 Predictive Ratings Alabama 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALA adv MSST
Season 15-19-0 10-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-11-0 6-13-0
Streak L1 L6
Last 5 3-2-0 0-5-0
Last 10 5-5-0 2-8-0
Home 6-9-0 4-12-0
Away 9-10-0 6-10-0

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home North Dakota -35.5 W by 29 -6.5
11/08 Away St John's -- W by 7 --
11/13 Home Purdue -3.0 L by 7 -10.0
11/19 Neutral Illinois +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
11/24 Neutral Gonzaga +4.5 L by 10 -5.5
11/25 Neutral UNLV -14.5 W by 39 +24.5
11/26 Neutral Maryland -14.5 W by 33 +18.5
12/03 Home Clemson -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
12/07 Home UTSA -33.5 W by 42 +8.5
12/13 Neutral Arizona +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
12/17 Home S Florida -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
12/21 Neutral Kennesaw St -20.0 W by 11 -9.0
12/29 Home Yale -15.0 W by 24 +9.0
01/03 Home Kentucky -5.5 W by 15 +9.5
01/07 Away Vanderbilt +3.0 L by 6 -3.0
01/10 Home Texas -11.5 L by 4 -15.5
01/13 Away Mississippi St -4.5 W by 15 +10.5
01/17 Away Oklahoma -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
01/24 Home Tennessee -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
01/27 Home Missouri -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
02/01 Away Florida +9.0 L by 23 -14.0
02/04 Home Texas A&M -8.0 W by 3 -5.0
02/07 Away Auburn +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/11 Away Mississippi -6.5 W by 19 +12.5
02/14 Home South Carolina -17.5 W by 14 -3.5
02/18 Home Arkansas -4.0 W by 2 -2.0
02/21 Away LSU -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
02/25 Home Mississippi St -12.5 W by 25 +12.5
02/28 Away Tennessee +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
03/03 Away Georgia -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
03/07 Home Auburn -5.5 W by 12 +6.5
03/13 Neutral Mississippi -12.5 L by 1 -13.5
03/20 Neutral Hofstra -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Texas Tech -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan +9.5 L by 13 -3.5

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5