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Alabama at Mississippi St: Recap

Tuesday Jan 13, 2026 9:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Alabama by 4.5, Total Points: 171.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Alabama ALA 63.3%
MSST 36.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSST +4.5 ALA 48.6%
MSST 51.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 171.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off ALA -2.8%
MSST -0.4%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ALA 88.2 88.0 97
MSST 84.1 83.5 82

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ALA MSST
Points/Game 91.2 77.6
Avg Score Margin +8.5 -4.2
Assists/Game 16.3 12.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 40.7 38.2
Effective FG % 55.2% 51.5%
Off Rebound % 30.0% 27.7%
FTA/FGA 0.360 0.307
Turnover % 11.2% 13.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ALA MSST
Opp Points/Game 82.7 81.8
Opp Effective FG % 49.2% 50.9%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.4 9.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 26.4 25.5
Blocks/Game 5.0 4.4
Steals/Game 6.4 5.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 16.1