This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Virginia at Louisville: Recap

Tuesday Jan 13, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 4.5, Total Points: 155

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville UVA 34.9%
LOU 65.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
LOU -4.5 UVA 49.5%
LOU 50.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 153.0 Over 48.0%
Under 52.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off UVA -0.9%
LOU -3.4%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
UVA 73.7 74.2 79
LOU 78.4 78.8 70

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat UVA LOU
Points/Game 80.4 84.3
Avg Score Margin +11.6 +11.7
Assists/Game 16.3 17.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 40.0 38.3
Effective FG % 54.6% 56.5%
Off Rebound % 36.8% 31.6%
FTA/FGA 0.323 0.331
Turnover % 13.4% 14.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat UVA LOU
Opp Points/Game 68.8 72.5
Opp Effective FG % 45.7% 48.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.4 10.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 24.9 25.9
Blocks/Game 6.4 3.3
Steals/Game 6.3 6.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.4 18.5