This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Virginia at Louisville: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Jan 13, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 4.5, Total Points: 155

Matchup Menu: UVA @ LOU

More Games From Jan 13, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 153.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 153.0	Similar Games	56% odds to go under
Under 153.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UVA	LOU
Season	17-19-0	15-20-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	8-12-0
Streak	Ov 6	Un 1
Last 5	5-0-0	2-3-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	6-11-0	6-11-0
Away	11-8-0	9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Virginia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Rider	147.5	87-53	Under	-7.5
11/07	Home	NC Central	153.0	81-62	Under	-10.0
11/11	Home	Hampton	148.5	91-53	Under	-4.5
11/15	Home	Marshall	155.5	104-78	Over	+26.5
11/21	Neutral	Northwestern	149.5	83-78	Over	+11.5
11/23	Neutral	Butler	155.5	73-80	Under	-2.5
11/28	Home	Queens	159.0	94-69	Over	+4.0
12/03	Away	Texas	154.5	88-69	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Dayton	147.5	86-73	Over	+11.5
12/09	Home	Maryland ES	134.5	84-60	Over	+9.5
12/20	Home	Maryland	153.5	80-72	Under	-1.5
12/22	Home	American	154.0	95-51	Under	-8.0
12/31	Away	Virginia Tech	153.5	85-95	Over	+26.5
01/03	Away	NC State	151.5	76-61	Under	-14.5
01/07	Home	California	148.0	84-60	Under	-4.0
01/10	Home	Stanford	143.5	70-55	Under	-18.5
01/13	Away	Louisville	155.0	79-70	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	SMU	153.0	72-68	Under	-13.0
01/24	Home	North Carolina	148.5	80-85	Over	+16.5
01/27	Away	Notre Dame	146.0	100-97	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Boston College	139.5	73-66	Under	-0.5
02/03	Home	Pittsburgh	142.5	67-47	Under	-28.5
02/07	Home	Syracuse	147.5	72-59	Under	-16.5
02/10	Away	Florida St	156.0	61-58	Under	-37.0
02/14	Neutral	Ohio St	146.5	70-66	Under	-10.5
02/18	Away	Georgia Tech	149.0	94-68	Over	+13.0
02/21	Home	Miami	146.5	86-83	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	NC State	152.5	90-61	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Duke	142.5	51-77	Under	-14.5
03/03	Home	Wake Forest	150.5	75-70	Under	-5.5
03/07	Home	Virginia Tech	146.5	76-72	Over	+1.5
03/12	Neutral	NC State	153.5	81-74	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Miami	145.5	84-62	Over	+0.5
03/14	Neutral	Duke	139.5	70-74	Over	+4.5
03/20	Neutral	Wright St	146.5	82-73	Over	+8.5
03/22	Neutral	Tennessee	137.5	72-79	Over	+13.5

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Carolina St	159.0	104-45	Under	-10.0
11/06	Home	Jackson St	165.5	106-70	Over	+10.5
11/11	Home	Kentucky	173.0	96-88	Over	+11.0
11/15	Home	Ohio	175.0	106-81	Over	+12.0
11/21	Neutral	Cincinnati	164.0	74-64	Under	-26.0
11/24	Home	E Michigan	162.5	87-46	Under	-29.5
11/26	Home	NJIT	158.5	104-47	Under	-7.5
12/03	Away	Arkansas	166.5	80-89	Over	+2.5
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	162.5	87-78	Over	+2.5
12/13	Home	Memphis	162.5	99-73	Over	+9.5
12/16	Away	Tennessee	156.5	62-83	Under	-11.5
12/20	Home	Montana	165.0	94-54	Under	-17.0
12/30	Away	California	159.0	90-70	Over	+1.0
01/02	Away	Stanford	157.5	76-80	Under	-1.5
01/06	Home	Duke	160.5	73-84	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	Boston College	151.0	75-62	Under	-14.0
01/13	Home	Virginia	155.0	70-79	Under	-6.0
01/17	Away	Pittsburgh	152.5	100-59	Over	+6.5
01/24	Home	Virginia Tech	160.5	85-71	Under	-4.5
01/26	Away	Duke	157.0	52-83	Under	-22.0
01/31	Home	SMU	161.5	88-74	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Notre Dame	156.5	76-65	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	Wake Forest	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/09	Home	NC State	161.5	118-77	Over	+33.5
02/14	Neutral	Baylor	162.5	82-71	Under	-9.5
02/17	Away	SMU	168.0	85-95	Over	+12.0
02/21	Home	Georgia Tech	167.5	87-70	Under	-10.5
02/23	Away	North Carolina	162.5	74-77	Under	-11.5
02/28	Away	Clemson	146.5	75-80	Over	+8.5
03/03	Home	Syracuse	159.5	77-62	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	Miami	155.5	92-89	Over	+25.5
03/11	Neutral	SMU	164.5	62-58	Under	-44.5
03/12	Neutral	Miami	152.5	73-78	Under	-1.5
03/19	Neutral	S Florida	160.5	83-79	Over	+1.5
03/21	Neutral	Michigan St	151.5	69-77	Under	-5.5