Mississippi St at Florida: Point Spread Line Movement

Tuesday Mar 3, 2026 8:00 pm - Gainesville, FL
Odds: Florida by 20.5, Total Points: 161.5

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 583 games where the closing line favored the home team by 19.5 to 21.5 points. In these games:

• The team like Florida won the game 571 times (97.9%).
• The team like Mississippi State won the game 12 times (2.1%).
• The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 291-284-8 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 281 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 152-126-3 (54.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.