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Mississippi St at Florida: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Mar 3, 2026 8:00 pm - Gainesville, FL
Odds: Florida by 20.5, Total Points: 161.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ FLA

More Games From Mar 3, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 160.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 160.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go under
Under 160.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSST	FLA
Season	16-16-0	14-20-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	8-11-1
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	5-11-0	6-8-1
Away	11-5-0	8-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5

Florida Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Neutral	Arizona	163.5	87-93	Over	+16.5
11/06	Home	N Florida	169.0	104-64	Under	-1.0
11/11	Home	Florida St	180.5	78-76	Under	-26.5
11/16	Neutral	Miami	171.5	82-68	Under	-21.5
11/21	Home	Merrimack	158.5	80-45	Under	-33.5
11/27	Neutral	TCU	155.5	80-84	Over	+8.5
11/28	Neutral	Providence	168.5	90-78	Under	-0.5
12/02	Away	Duke	157.5	66-67	Under	-24.5
12/09	Neutral	UConn	145.5	73-77	Over	+4.5
12/13	Neutral	G Washington	163.0	80-70	Under	-13.0
12/17	Home	St Francis PA	156.5	102-61	Over	+6.5
12/21	Home	Colgate	156.5	90-60	Under	-6.5
12/29	Home	Dartmouth	160.5	94-72	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Missouri	154.5	74-76	Under	-4.5
01/06	Home	Georgia	173.0	92-77	Under	-4.0
01/10	Home	Tennessee	151.5	91-67	Over	+6.5
01/13	Away	Oklahoma	157.5	96-79	Over	+17.5
01/17	Away	Vanderbilt	165.0	98-94	Over	+27.0
01/20	Home	LSU	158.5	79-61	Under	-18.5
01/24	Home	Auburn	162.5	67-76	Under	-19.5
01/28	Away	South Carolina	152.0	95-48	Under	-9.0
02/01	Home	Alabama	177.0	100-77	Push	0.0
02/07	Away	Texas A&M	167.0	86-67	Under	-14.0
02/11	Away	Georgia	165.0	86-66	Under	-13.0
02/14	Home	Kentucky	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
02/17	Home	South Carolina	154.5	76-62	Under	-16.5
02/21	Away	Mississippi	151.0	94-75	Over	+18.0
02/25	Away	Texas	158.5	84-71	Under	-3.5
02/28	Home	Arkansas	168.5	111-77	Over	+19.5
03/03	Home	Mississippi St	161.5	108-74	Over	+20.5
03/07	Away	Kentucky	162.5	84-77	Under	-1.5
03/13	Neutral	Kentucky	160.5	71-63	Under	-26.5
03/14	Neutral	Vanderbilt	161.5	74-91	Over	+3.5
03/20	Neutral	Prairie View	152.5	114-55	Over	+16.5
03/22	Neutral	Iowa	145.5	72-73	Under	-0.5