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Mississippi St at Florida: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Mar 3, 2026 8:00 pm - Gainesville, FL
Odds: Florida by 20.5, Total Points: 161.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ FLA

More Games From Mar 3, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Mississippi St +20.5 Official TR Pick Mississippi St 51% odds to cover
Mississippi St +20.5 Power Rating Model Mississippi St 68% odds to cover
Mississippi St +20.5 Decision Tree Mississippi St 51% odds to cover
Florida -20.5 Similar Games Florida 57% odds to cover
Florida -20.5 Predictive Ratings Florida 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MSST adv FLA
Season 10-22-0 18-17-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-13-0 14-6-0
Streak L6 L1
Last 5 0-5-0 2-3-0
Last 10 2-8-0 6-4-0
Home 4-12-0 7-8-0
Away 6-10-0 11-9-0

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5

Florida Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Neutral Arizona -3.5 L by 6 -9.5
11/06 Home N Florida -43.0 W by 40 -3.0
11/11 Home Florida St -18.0 W by 2 -16.0
11/16 Neutral Miami -11.0 W by 14 +3.0
11/21 Home Merrimack -36.5 W by 35 -1.5
11/27 Neutral TCU -11.0 L by 4 -15.0
11/28 Neutral Providence -13.5 W by 12 -1.5
12/02 Away Duke +9.5 L by 1 +8.5
12/09 Neutral UConn +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
12/13 Neutral G Washington -13.5 W by 10 -3.5
12/17 Home St Francis PA -44.5 W by 41 -3.5
12/21 Home Colgate -27.5 W by 30 +2.5
12/29 Home Dartmouth -35.5 W by 22 -13.5
01/03 Away Missouri -7.5 L by 2 -9.5
01/06 Home Georgia -9.5 W by 15 +5.5
01/10 Home Tennessee -4.5 W by 24 +19.5
01/13 Away Oklahoma -7.5 W by 17 +9.5
01/17 Away Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
01/20 Home LSU -15.5 W by 18 +2.5
01/24 Home Auburn -11.5 L by 9 -20.5
01/28 Away South Carolina -13.5 W by 47 +33.5
02/01 Home Alabama -9.0 W by 23 +14.0
02/07 Away Texas A&M -5.0 W by 19 +14.0
02/11 Away Georgia -9.5 W by 20 +10.5
02/14 Home Kentucky -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
02/17 Home South Carolina -23.5 W by 14 -9.5
02/21 Away Mississippi -13.5 W by 19 +5.5
02/25 Away Texas -7.5 W by 13 +5.5
02/28 Home Arkansas -9.5 W by 34 +24.5
03/03 Home Mississippi St -20.5 W by 34 +13.5
03/07 Away Kentucky -5.5 W by 7 +1.5
03/13 Neutral Kentucky -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
03/14 Neutral Vanderbilt -7.5 L by 17 -24.5
03/20 Neutral Prairie View -35.5 W by 59 +23.5
03/22 Neutral Iowa -10.5 L by 1 -11.5