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Mississippi St at Alabama: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Feb 25, 2026 9:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 12.5, Total Points: 176.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ ALA

More Games From Feb 25, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 176.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 176.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under
Over 176.5	Similar Games	57% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSST	ALA
Season	16-16-0	17-16-1
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	10-8-1
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	5-11-0	7-8-0
Away	11-5-0	10-8-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	North Dakota	170.5	91-62	Under	-17.5
11/08	Away	St John's	--	103-96	Under	--
11/13	Home	Purdue	172.5	80-87	Under	-5.5
11/19	Neutral	Illinois	181.5	90-86	Under	-5.5
11/24	Neutral	Gonzaga	178.5	85-95	Over	+1.5
11/25	Neutral	UNLV	181.0	115-76	Over	+10.0
11/26	Neutral	Maryland	166.5	105-72	Over	+10.5
12/03	Home	Clemson	166.0	90-84	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	UTSA	171.0	97-55	Under	-19.0
12/13	Neutral	Arizona	178.5	75-96	Under	-7.5
12/17	Home	S Florida	178.5	104-93	Over	+18.5
12/21	Neutral	Kennesaw St	182.5	92-81	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Yale	171.0	102-78	Over	+9.0
01/03	Home	Kentucky	174.0	89-74	Under	-11.0
01/07	Away	Vanderbilt	176.0	90-96	Over	+10.0
01/10	Home	Texas	177.5	88-92	Over	+2.5
01/13	Away	Mississippi St	171.5	97-82	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Oklahoma	176.0	83-81	Under	-12.0
01/24	Home	Tennessee	167.5	73-79	Under	-15.5
01/27	Home	Missouri	166.5	90-64	Under	-12.5
02/01	Away	Florida	177.0	77-100	Push	0.0
02/04	Home	Texas A&M	179.5	100-97	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Auburn	175.5	96-92	Over	+12.5
02/11	Away	Mississippi	163.0	93-74	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	South Carolina	168.0	89-75	Under	-4.0
02/18	Home	Arkansas	184.0	117-115	Over	+48.0
02/21	Away	LSU	171.5	90-83	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Mississippi St	176.5	100-75	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Tennessee	162.5	71-69	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	Georgia	179.5	88-98	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Auburn	175.5	96-84	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Mississippi	166.5	79-80	Under	-7.5
03/20	Neutral	Hofstra	158.5	90-70	Over	+1.5
03/22	Neutral	Texas Tech	164.5	90-65	Under	-9.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan	172.5	77-90	Under	-5.5