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Mississippi St at Alabama: Point Spread Line Movement

Wednesday Feb 25, 2026 9:00 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 12.5, Total Points: 176.5

More Games From Feb 25, 2026
ALA -12.5 Open -14.5 High -14.5
Last -14.5 Low -12.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1850 games where the closing line favored the home team by 11.5 to 13.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Alabama won the game 1648 times (89.1%).
  • The team like Mississippi State won the game 202 times (10.9%).
  • The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 970-861-19 (53.0% ATS).

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 984 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 497-465-22 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -12.5 --
Open -- -14.5 --
History
02/25 09:04 PM -- -12.5 --
02/25 06:09 PM -- -12.5 --
02/25 11:29 AM -- -14.5 --
02/25 10:34 AM -- -13.5 --
02/25 07:14 AM -- -14.5 --
02/25 03:49 AM -- -14.5 --
02/25 01:39 AM -- -14.5 --
02/24 10:31 PM -- -14.5 --