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Middle Tenn at W Kentucky: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Feb 14, 2026 8:00 pm - Bowling Green, KY
Odds: Western Kentucky by 3, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: MTU @ WKU

More Games From Feb 14, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 144.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 144.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 144.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MTU	WKU
Season	14-15-0	15-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	10-11-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	6-4-0	7-3-0
Home	6-6-0	8-6-0
Away	8-9-0	7-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Middle Tenn Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	Milligan	--	100-51	Under	--
11/08	Home	Webster	--	109-56	Under	--
11/12	Away	Evansville	139.5	77-72	Over	+9.5
11/19	Away	Michigan	159.5	61-86	Under	-12.5
11/23	Neutral	Murray St	163.5	90-87	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	G Washington	159.5	79-92	Over	+11.5
11/25	Neutral	McNeese	147.5	62-72	Under	-13.5
12/01	Home	UAB	157.0	76-61	Under	-20.0
12/07	Home	Belmont	154.5	62-83	Under	-9.5
12/17	Home	Kennesaw St	160.5	68-67	Under	-25.5
12/21	Home	Cumberland	--	74-58	Under	--
12/29	Away	Houston	138.5	60-69	Under	-9.5
01/02	Home	Louisiana Tech	134.5	88-51	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	Sam Houston	156.5	68-67	Under	-21.5
01/08	Away	UTEP	138.5	80-83	Over	+24.5
01/10	Away	New Mexico St	142.5	59-55	Under	-28.5
01/14	Away	Louisiana Tech	132.5	58-59	Under	-15.5
01/17	Home	Missouri St	138.5	90-87	Over	+38.5
01/23	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	58-75	Under	-1.5
01/29	Home	Liberty	135.5	65-81	Over	+10.5
01/31	Home	W Kentucky	138.5	60-65	Under	-13.5
02/04	Home	Florida Intl	151.5	84-88	Over	+20.5
02/07	Away	Delaware	132.0	88-89	Over	+45.0
02/12	Away	Kennesaw St	147.5	90-87	Over	+29.5
02/14	Away	W Kentucky	144.5	80-82	Over	+17.5
02/18	Away	Sam Houston	152.5	70-78	Under	-4.5
02/21	Home	Delaware	165.5	78-66	Under	-21.5
02/26	Home	UTEP	139.5	77-67	Over	+4.5
02/28	Home	New Mexico St	148.5	86-85	Over	+22.5
03/05	Away	Florida Intl	153.5	73-67	Under	-13.5
03/07	Away	Missouri St	145.5	75-63	Under	-7.5
03/12	Neutral	Louisiana Tech	133.5	69-80	Over	+15.5

W Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Tenn Tech	153.0	82-70	Under	-1.0
11/10	Away	E Kentucky	163.0	87-79	Over	+3.0
11/16	Home	Tennessee St	167.5	95-82	Over	+9.5
11/18	Home	Bethel (TN)	--	97-67	Under	--
11/26	Neutral	Vanderbilt	168.5	78-83	Under	-7.5
11/27	Neutral	S Florida	167.5	91-97	Over	+20.5
11/28	Neutral	Wichita St	154.5	75-70	Under	-9.5
12/06	Home	Evansville	148.0	80-79	Over	+11.0
12/10	Away	Marshall	159.5	61-77	Under	-21.5
12/15	Home	Campbellsville	--	102-59	Under	--
12/19	Home	Tulsa	158.5	81-82	Over	+4.5
12/29	Away	Jacksonville St	142.5	67-78	Over	+2.5
01/02	Home	Sam Houston	168.0	102-91	Over	+25.0
01/04	Home	Louisiana Tech	145.5	66-61	Under	-18.5
01/08	Away	New Mexico St	154.5	64-80	Under	-10.5
01/10	Away	UTEP	144.5	68-56	Under	-20.5
01/14	Home	Missouri St	148.5	87-72	Over	+10.5
01/17	Home	Kennesaw St	166.0	65-81	Under	-20.0
01/21	Home	Liberty	148.5	69-76	Under	-3.5
01/24	Away	Sam Houston	158.5	58-73	Under	-27.5
01/28	Away	Kennesaw St	157.5	69-72	Under	-16.5
01/31	Away	Middle Tenn	138.5	65-60	Under	-13.5
02/05	Home	Jacksonville St	140.0	66-71	Under	-3.0
02/07	Home	Florida Intl	157.5	80-70	Under	-7.5
02/14	Home	Middle Tenn	144.5	82-80	Over	+17.5
02/18	Away	Delaware	140.0	88-87	Over	+35.0
02/21	Away	Liberty	147.5	94-73	Over	+19.5
02/26	Home	New Mexico St	151.5	93-70	Over	+11.5
02/28	Home	UTEP	145.5	97-65	Over	+16.5
03/05	Away	Missouri St	152.5	74-87	Over	+8.5
03/07	Away	Florida Intl	160.5	67-92	Under	-1.5
03/12	Neutral	Kennesaw St	159.5	87-96	Over	+23.5