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Middle Tenn at W Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 14, 2026 8:00 pm - Bowling Green, KY
Odds: Western Kentucky by 3, Total Points: 144.5

Matchup Menu: MTU @ WKU

More Games From Feb 14, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
W Kentucky -3.0 Official TR Pick W Kentucky 52% odds to cover
W Kentucky -3.0 Similar Games W Kentucky 51% odds to cover
W Kentucky -3.0 Decision Tree W Kentucky 52% odds to cover
W Kentucky -3.0 Predictive Ratings W Kentucky 51% odds to cover
Middle Tenn +3.0 Power Rating Model Middle Tenn 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MTU adv WKU
Season 13-16-0 15-15-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-13-0 9-12-0
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 4-6-0
Home 4-8-0 7-7-0
Away 9-8-0 8-8-0

Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home Milligan -- W by 49 --
11/08 Home Webster -- W by 53 --
11/12 Away Evansville +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
11/19 Away Michigan +28.0 L by 25 +3.0
11/23 Neutral Murray St +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
11/24 Neutral G Washington +9.5 L by 13 -3.5
11/25 Neutral McNeese +7.5 L by 10 -2.5
12/01 Home UAB +1.5 W by 15 +16.5
12/07 Home Belmont +3.5 L by 21 -17.5
12/17 Home Kennesaw St -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
12/21 Home Cumberland -- W by 16 --
12/29 Away Houston +26.0 L by 9 +17.0
01/02 Home Louisiana Tech -6.5 W by 37 +30.5
01/04 Home Sam Houston -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
01/08 Away UTEP -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
01/10 Away New Mexico St +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/14 Away Louisiana Tech -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/17 Home Missouri St -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
01/23 Away Jacksonville St -1.5 L by 17 -18.5
01/29 Home Liberty +1.5 L by 16 -14.5
01/31 Home W Kentucky -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
02/04 Home Florida Intl -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
02/07 Away Delaware -5.0 L by 1 -6.0
02/12 Away Kennesaw St +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/14 Away W Kentucky +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
02/18 Away Sam Houston +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/21 Home Delaware +14.5 W by 12 +26.5
02/26 Home UTEP -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
02/28 Home New Mexico St -5.5 W by 1 -4.5
03/05 Away Florida Intl -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
03/07 Away Missouri St +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Louisiana Tech -1.5 L by 11 -12.5

W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Tenn Tech -14.0 W by 12 -2.0
11/10 Away E Kentucky -1.5 W by 8 +6.5
11/16 Home Tennessee St -12.5 W by 13 +0.5
11/18 Home Bethel (TN) -- W by 30 --
11/26 Neutral Vanderbilt +17.5 L by 5 +12.5
11/27 Neutral S Florida +7.5 L by 6 +1.5
11/28 Neutral Wichita St +4.5 W by 5 +9.5
12/06 Home Evansville -12.0 W by 1 -11.0
12/10 Away Marshall +2.0 L by 16 -14.0
12/15 Home Campbellsville -- W by 43 --
12/19 Home Tulsa +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
12/29 Away Jacksonville St -2.0 L by 11 -13.0
01/02 Home Sam Houston -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
01/04 Home Louisiana Tech -10.0 W by 5 -5.0
01/08 Away New Mexico St +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
01/10 Away UTEP -4.0 W by 12 +8.0
01/14 Home Missouri St -6.5 W by 15 +8.5
01/17 Home Kennesaw St -8.0 L by 16 -24.0
01/21 Home Liberty +1.0 L by 7 -6.0
01/24 Away Sam Houston +3.5 L by 15 -11.5
01/28 Away Kennesaw St +4.5 L by 3 +1.5
01/31 Away Middle Tenn +7.5 W by 5 +12.5
02/05 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
02/07 Home Florida Intl -5.0 W by 10 +5.0
02/14 Home Middle Tenn -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
02/18 Away Delaware -4.0 W by 1 -3.0
02/21 Away Liberty +7.5 W by 21 +28.5
02/26 Home New Mexico St -4.5 W by 23 +18.5
02/28 Home UTEP -9.5 W by 32 +22.5
03/05 Away Missouri St -1.5 L by 13 -14.5
03/07 Away Florida Intl -1.5 L by 25 -26.5
03/12 Neutral Kennesaw St -1.5 L by 9 -10.5