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Missouri St at Middle Tenn: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 6:00 pm - Murfreesboro, TN
Odds: Middle Tennessee by 5.5, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: MOSU @ MTU

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 138.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go over
Over 138.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go over
Under 138.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MOSU	MTU
Season	19-12-0	14-15-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	17-6-0	11-10-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	7-3-0	6-4-0
Home	9-6-0	6-6-0
Away	10-6-0	8-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Missouri St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Missouri Southern State	--	88-70	Under	--
11/08	Home	Northwestern Oklahoma State	--	106-57	Under	--
11/11	Home	Arkansas St	152.0	85-86	Over	+19.0
11/15	Away	UT Arlington	143.5	49-67	Under	-27.5
11/22	Home	UT Rio Grande	149.0	74-67	Under	-8.0
11/24	Home	LIU	145.5	61-75	Under	-9.5
11/30	Home	Northeastern St.	--	92-71	Under	--
12/06	Away	Tulsa	142.5	74-98	Over	+29.5
12/12	Away	Xavier	151.5	57-75	Under	-19.5
12/16	Home	Oral Roberts	146.5	63-62	Under	-21.5
12/23	Home	Lindenwood	144.5	70-65	Under	-9.5
12/29	Away	Delaware	132.0	61-43	Under	-28.0
01/02	Home	UTEP	131.5	79-55	Over	+2.5
01/04	Home	New Mexico St	135.0	89-82	Over	+36.0
01/07	Away	Kennesaw St	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
01/10	Home	Florida Intl	151.5	79-71	Under	-1.5
01/14	Away	W Kentucky	148.5	72-87	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Middle Tenn	138.5	87-90	Over	+38.5
01/22	Away	New Mexico St	144.0	84-75	Over	+15.0
01/24	Away	UTEP	139.0	62-57	Under	-20.0
01/28	Home	Sam Houston	148.5	71-80	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Jacksonville St	135.5	74-67	Over	+5.5
02/07	Away	Liberty	140.5	76-79	Over	+14.5
02/12	Home	Louisiana Tech	136.0	78-79	Over	+21.0
02/14	Home	Delaware	134.0	67-76	Over	+9.0
02/18	Home	Kennesaw St	152.5	87-91	Over	+25.5
02/21	Away	Florida Intl	154.5	67-70	Under	-17.5
02/26	Away	Louisiana Tech	139.5	70-72	Over	+2.5
02/28	Away	Sam Houston	152.5	81-86	Over	+14.5
03/05	Home	W Kentucky	152.5	87-74	Over	+8.5
03/07	Home	Middle Tenn	145.5	63-75	Under	-7.5
03/10	Neutral	Florida Intl	152.5	75-72	Under	-5.5
03/11	Neutral	Liberty	142.5	77-69	Over	+3.5
03/13	Neutral	Louisiana Tech	134.5	66-69	Over	+0.5

Middle Tenn Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	Milligan	--	100-51	Under	--
11/08	Home	Webster	--	109-56	Under	--
11/12	Away	Evansville	139.5	77-72	Over	+9.5
11/19	Away	Michigan	159.5	61-86	Under	-12.5
11/23	Neutral	Murray St	163.5	90-87	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	G Washington	159.5	79-92	Over	+11.5
11/25	Neutral	McNeese	147.5	62-72	Under	-13.5
12/01	Home	UAB	157.0	76-61	Under	-20.0
12/07	Home	Belmont	154.5	62-83	Under	-9.5
12/17	Home	Kennesaw St	160.5	68-67	Under	-25.5
12/21	Home	Cumberland	--	74-58	Under	--
12/29	Away	Houston	138.5	60-69	Under	-9.5
01/02	Home	Louisiana Tech	134.5	88-51	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	Sam Houston	156.5	68-67	Under	-21.5
01/08	Away	UTEP	138.5	80-83	Over	+24.5
01/10	Away	New Mexico St	142.5	59-55	Under	-28.5
01/14	Away	Louisiana Tech	132.5	58-59	Under	-15.5
01/17	Home	Missouri St	138.5	90-87	Over	+38.5
01/23	Away	Jacksonville St	134.5	58-75	Under	-1.5
01/29	Home	Liberty	135.5	65-81	Over	+10.5
01/31	Home	W Kentucky	138.5	60-65	Under	-13.5
02/04	Home	Florida Intl	151.5	84-88	Over	+20.5
02/07	Away	Delaware	132.0	88-89	Over	+45.0
02/12	Away	Kennesaw St	147.5	90-87	Over	+29.5
02/14	Away	W Kentucky	144.5	80-82	Over	+17.5
02/18	Away	Sam Houston	152.5	70-78	Under	-4.5
02/21	Home	Delaware	165.5	78-66	Under	-21.5
02/26	Home	UTEP	139.5	77-67	Over	+4.5
02/28	Home	New Mexico St	148.5	86-85	Over	+22.5
03/05	Away	Florida Intl	153.5	73-67	Under	-13.5
03/07	Away	Missouri St	145.5	75-63	Under	-7.5
03/12	Neutral	Louisiana Tech	133.5	69-80	Over	+15.5