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Missouri St at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 17, 2026 6:00 pm - Murfreesboro, TN
Odds: Middle Tennessee by 5.5, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: MOSU @ MTU

More Games From Jan 17, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Missouri St +5.5 Official TR Pick Missouri St 53% odds to cover
Missouri St +5.5 Power Rating Model Missouri St 50% odds to cover
Missouri St +5.5 Similar Games Missouri St 54% odds to cover
Missouri St +5.5 Decision Tree Missouri St 53% odds to cover
Middle Tenn -5.5 Predictive Ratings Middle Tenn 63% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MOSU adv MTU
Season 18-13-0 13-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 15-8-0 8-13-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 6-4-0 6-4-0
Home 7-8-0 4-8-0
Away 11-5-0 9-8-0

Missouri St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Missouri Southern State -- W by 18 --
11/08 Home Northwestern Oklahoma State -- W by 49 --
11/11 Home Arkansas St -2.5 L by 1 -3.5
11/15 Away UT Arlington +3.5 L by 18 -14.5
11/22 Home UT Rio Grande -3.0 W by 7 +4.0
11/24 Home LIU -3.5 L by 14 -17.5
11/30 Home Northeastern St. -- W by 21 --
12/06 Away Tulsa +8.0 L by 24 -16.0
12/12 Away Xavier +18.5 L by 18 +0.5
12/16 Home Oral Roberts -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
12/23 Home Lindenwood -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Away Delaware -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
01/02 Home UTEP -3.0 W by 24 +21.0
01/04 Home New Mexico St -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
01/07 Away Kennesaw St +7.0 L by 10 -3.0
01/10 Home Florida Intl -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
01/14 Away W Kentucky +6.5 L by 15 -8.5
01/17 Away Middle Tenn +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/22 Away New Mexico St +6.5 W by 9 +15.5
01/24 Away UTEP -2.0 W by 5 +3.0
01/28 Home Sam Houston -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
01/31 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
02/07 Away Liberty +9.0 L by 3 +6.0
02/12 Home Louisiana Tech -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
02/14 Home Delaware -9.0 L by 9 -18.0
02/18 Home Kennesaw St -1.5 L by 4 -5.5
02/21 Away Florida Intl +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
02/26 Away Louisiana Tech +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
02/28 Away Sam Houston +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
03/05 Home W Kentucky +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
03/07 Home Middle Tenn -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
03/10 Neutral Florida Intl -1.5 W by 3 +1.5
03/11 Neutral Liberty +4.5 W by 8 +12.5
03/13 Neutral Louisiana Tech +1.5 L by 3 -1.5

Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home Milligan -- W by 49 --
11/08 Home Webster -- W by 53 --
11/12 Away Evansville +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
11/19 Away Michigan +28.0 L by 25 +3.0
11/23 Neutral Murray St +7.5 W by 3 +10.5
11/24 Neutral G Washington +9.5 L by 13 -3.5
11/25 Neutral McNeese +7.5 L by 10 -2.5
12/01 Home UAB +1.5 W by 15 +16.5
12/07 Home Belmont +3.5 L by 21 -17.5
12/17 Home Kennesaw St -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
12/21 Home Cumberland -- W by 16 --
12/29 Away Houston +26.0 L by 9 +17.0
01/02 Home Louisiana Tech -6.5 W by 37 +30.5
01/04 Home Sam Houston -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
01/08 Away UTEP -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
01/10 Away New Mexico St +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
01/14 Away Louisiana Tech -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
01/17 Home Missouri St -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
01/23 Away Jacksonville St -1.5 L by 17 -18.5
01/29 Home Liberty +1.5 L by 16 -14.5
01/31 Home W Kentucky -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
02/04 Home Florida Intl -6.0 L by 4 -10.0
02/07 Away Delaware -5.0 L by 1 -6.0
02/12 Away Kennesaw St +3.5 W by 3 +6.5
02/14 Away W Kentucky +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
02/18 Away Sam Houston +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
02/21 Home Delaware +14.5 W by 12 +26.5
02/26 Home UTEP -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
02/28 Home New Mexico St -5.5 W by 1 -4.5
03/05 Away Florida Intl -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
03/07 Away Missouri St +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
03/12 Neutral Louisiana Tech -1.5 L by 11 -12.5