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Golden State at Miami: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Nov 19, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 9.5, Total Points: 234.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 234.5 Official TR Pick 50% odds to go over
Over 234.5 Decision Tree 50% odds to go over
Over 234.5 Similar Games 61% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record GS MIA
Season 49-35-0 47-36-0
vs Division 7-11-0 12-6-0
vs Conference 32-22-0 28-25-0
Streak Un 1 Ov 4
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 8-2-0
Home 25-16-0 23-18-0
Away 24-19-0 24-18-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Golden State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/21 Away LA Lakers 227.0 119-109 Over +1.0
10/23 Home Denver 233.0 137-131 Over +35.0
10/24 Away Portland 228.5 119-139 Over +29.5
10/27 Home Memphis 240.0 131-118 Over +9.0
10/28 Home LA Clippers 225.5 98-79 Under -48.5
10/30 Away Milwaukee 228.5 110-120 Over +1.5
11/01 Away Indiana 230.0 109-114 Under -7.0
11/04 Home Phoenix 235.5 118-107 Under -10.5
11/05 Away Sacramento 224.5 116-121 Over +12.5
11/07 Away Denver 230.5 104-129 Over +2.5
11/09 Home Indiana 221.5 114-83 Under -24.5
11/11 Away Okla City 227.5 102-126 Over +0.5
11/12 Away San Antonio 232.5 125-120 Over +12.5
11/14 Away San Antonio 233.5 109-108 Under -16.5
11/16 Away New Orleans 226.5 124-106 Over +3.5
11/18 Away Orlando 223.5 113-121 Over +10.5
11/19 Away Miami 234.5 96-110 Under -28.5
11/21 Home Portland 236.5 123-127 Over +13.5
11/24 Home Utah 239.5 134-117 Over +11.5
11/26 Home Houston 224.5 100-104 Under -20.5
11/29 Home New Orleans 228.5 104-96 Under -28.5
12/02 Home Okla City 223.5 112-124 Over +12.5
12/04 Away Philadelphia 223.5 98-99 Under -26.5
12/06 Away Cleveland 230.5 99-94 Under -37.5
12/07 Away Chicago 229.5 123-91 Under -15.5
12/12 Home Minnesota 227.5 120-127 Over +19.5
12/14 Away Portland 237.5 131-136 Over +29.5
12/18 Away Phoenix 229.5 98-99 Under -32.5
12/20 Home Phoenix 226.5 119-116 Over +8.5
12/22 Home Orlando 227.5 120-97 Under -10.5
12/25 Home Dallas 229.5 126-116 Over +12.5
12/28 Away Toronto 227.5 127-141 Over +40.5
12/29 Away Brooklyn 226.5 120-107 Over +0.5
12/31 Away Charlotte 235.5 132-125 Over +21.5
01/02 Home Okla City 226.5 94-131 Under -1.5
01/03 Home Utah 248.5 123-114 Under -11.5
01/05 Away LA Clippers 221.5 102-103 Under -16.5
01/07 Home Milwaukee 229.5 120-113 Over +3.5
01/09 Home Sacramento 231.5 137-103 Over +8.5
01/11 Home Atlanta 236.5 111-124 Under -1.5
01/13 Home Portland 225.5 119-97 Under -9.5
01/15 Home New York 227.5 126-113 Over +11.5
01/17 Home Charlotte 236.5 136-116 Over +15.5
01/19 Home Miami 239.5 135-112 Over +7.5
01/20 Home Toronto 225.5 127-145 Over +46.5
01/22 Away Dallas 234.5 115-123 Over +3.5
01/25 Away Minnesota 237.5 111-85 Under -41.5
01/26 Away Minnesota 226.5 83-108 Under -35.5
01/28 Away Utah 241.5 140-124 Over +22.5
01/30 Home Detroit 225.5 124-131 Over +29.5
02/03 Home Philadelphia 223.5 94-113 Under -16.5
02/05 Away Phoenix 213.5 101-97 Under -15.5
02/07 Away LA Lakers 221.5 99-105 Under -17.5
02/09 Home Memphis 219.5 114-113 Over +7.5
02/11 Home San Antonio 220.5 113-126 Over +18.5
02/19 Home Boston 210.5 110-121 Over +20.5
02/22 Home Denver 228.5 128-117 Over +16.5
02/24 Away New Orleans 228.5 109-113 Under -6.5
02/25 Away Memphis 226.5 133-112 Over +18.5
02/28 Home LA Lakers 226.5 101-129 Over +3.5
03/02 Home LA Clippers 216.5 101-114 Under -1.5
03/05 Away Houston 214.5 115-113 Over +13.5
03/07 Away Okla City 220.5 97-104 Under -19.5
03/09 Away Utah 225.0 116-119 Over +10.0
03/10 Home Chicago 226.5 124-130 Over +27.5
03/13 Home Minnesota 224.5 117-127 Over +19.5
03/15 Away New York 218.5 107-110 Under -1.5
03/16 Away Washington 234.5 125-117 Over +7.5
03/18 Away Boston 216.5 99-120 Over +2.5
03/20 Away Detroit 219.5 101-115 Under -3.5
03/21 Away Atlanta 227.5 110-126 Over +8.5
03/23 Away Dallas 230.5 137-131 Over +37.5
03/25 Home Brooklyn 218.5 109-106 Under -3.5
03/27 Home Washington 230.5 131-126 Over +26.5
03/29 Away Denver 237.5 93-116 Under -28.5
04/01 Home San Antonio 227.5 113-127 Over +12.5
04/02 Home Cleveland 229.5 111-118 Under -0.5
04/05 Home Houston 226.5 116-117 Over +6.5
04/07 Home Sacramento 233.5 110-105 Under -18.5
04/09 Home LA Lakers 222.5 103-119 Under -0.5
04/10 Away Sacramento 228.5 118-124 Over +13.5
04/12 Away LA Clippers 229.5 110-115 Under -4.5
04/15 Away LA Clippers 220.5 126-121 Over +26.5
04/17 Away Phoenix 219.5 96-111 Under -12.5

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando 216.0 121-125 Over +30.0
10/24 Away Memphis 232.5 146-114 Over +27.5
10/26 Home New York 230.5 115-107 Under -8.5
10/28 Home Charlotte 241.5 144-117 Over +19.5
10/30 Away San Antonio 228.5 101-107 Under -20.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers 232.5 120-130 Over +17.5
11/03 Away LA Clippers 227.5 120-119 Over +11.5
11/05 Away Denver 242.5 112-122 Under -8.5
11/07 Home Charlotte 235.5 126-108 Under -1.5
11/08 Home Portland 241.5 136-131 Over +25.5
11/10 Home Cleveland 248.5 140-138 Over +29.5
11/12 Home Cleveland 238.5 116-130 Over +7.5
11/14 Away New York 240.5 132-140 Over +31.5
11/17 Home New York 244.5 115-113 Under -16.5
11/19 Home Golden State 234.5 110-96 Under -28.5
11/21 Away Chicago 250.5 143-107 Under -0.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia 240.5 127-117 Over +3.5
11/24 Home Dallas 240.5 106-102 Under -32.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee 236.5 106-103 Under -27.5
11/29 Home Detroit 239.5 135-138 Over +33.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers 235.5 140-123 Over +27.5
12/03 Away Dallas 238.5 108-118 Under -12.5
12/05 Away Orlando 241.5 105-106 Under -30.5
12/06 Home Sacramento 241.5 111-127 Under -3.5
12/09 Away Orlando 235.5 108-117 Under -10.5
12/15 Home Toronto 234.5 96-106 Under -32.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn 228.5 106-95 Under -27.5
12/19 Away Boston 232.5 116-129 Over +12.5
12/21 Away New York 236.5 125-132 Over +20.5
12/23 Home Toronto 227.5 91-112 Under -24.5
12/26 Away Atlanta 250.5 126-111 Under -13.5
12/27 Home Indiana 233.5 142-116 Over +24.5
12/29 Home Denver 243.5 147-123 Over +26.5
01/01 Away Detroit 236.5 118-112 Under -6.5
01/03 Home Minnesota 235.5 115-125 Over +4.5
01/04 Home New Orleans 246.5 125-106 Under -15.5
01/06 Away Minnesota 238.5 94-122 Under -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana 235.5 99-123 Under -13.5
01/11 Away Okla City 234.5 112-124 Over +1.5
01/13 Home Phoenix 230.5 127-121 Over +17.5
01/15 Home Boston 235.5 114-119 Under -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City 234.5 122-120 Over +7.5
01/19 Away Golden State 239.5 112-135 Over +7.5
01/20 Away Sacramento 238.5 130-117 Over +8.5
01/22 Away Portland 235.5 110-127 Over +1.5
01/24 Away Utah 245.5 147-116 Over +17.5
01/25 Away Phoenix 225.5 111-102 Under -12.5
01/28 Home Orlando 233.5 124-133 Over +23.5
01/29 Away Chicago 238.5 116-113 Under -9.5
01/31 Home Chicago 231.5 118-125 Over +11.5
02/01 Home Chicago 233.5 134-91 Under -8.5
02/03 Home Atlanta 237.5 115-127 Over +4.5
02/06 Away Boston 227.5 96-98 Under -33.5
02/08 Away Washington 236.5 132-101 Under -3.5
02/09 Home Utah 236.5 111-115 Under -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans 233.5 123-111 Over +0.5
02/20 Away Atlanta 244.5 128-97 Under -19.5
02/21 Home Memphis 238.5 136-120 Over +17.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee 228.5 117-128 Over +16.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia 240.5 117-124 Over +0.5
02/28 Home Houston 226.5 115-105 Under -6.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn 226.5 124-98 Under -4.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn 225.5 126-110 Over +10.5
03/06 Away Charlotte 230.5 128-120 Over +17.5
03/08 Home Detroit 231.5 121-110 Under -0.5
03/10 Home Washington 235.5 150-129 Over +43.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee 234.5 112-105 Under -17.5
03/14 Home Orlando 237.0 117-121 Over +1.0
03/17 Away Charlotte 236.5 106-136 Over +5.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers 242.5 126-134 Over +17.5
03/21 Away Houston 228.5 122-123 Over +16.5
03/23 Home San Antonio 244.5 111-136 Over +2.5
03/25 Away Cleveland 243.5 120-103 Under -20.5
03/27 Away Cleveland 240.5 128-149 Over +36.5
03/29 Away Indiana 245.5 118-135 Over +7.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia 243.5 119-109 Under -15.5
04/01 Home Boston 230.5 129-147 Over +45.5
04/04 Home Washington 245.5 152-136 Over +42.5
04/07 Away Toronto 240.5 95-121 Under -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto 236.5 114-128 Over +5.5
04/10 Away Washington 244.5 140-117 Over +12.5
04/12 Home Atlanta 240.5 143-117 Over +19.5
04/14 Away Charlotte 228.5 126-127 Over +24.5