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Golden State at Miami: Recap

Wednesday Nov 19, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 9.5, Total Points: 234.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami GS 21.3%
MIA 78.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
GS +9.5 GS 52.6%
MIA 47.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 234.5 Over 50.2%
Under 49.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off GS -1.4%
MIA -3.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
GS 112.9 112.5 96
MIA 121.7 122.0 110

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat GS MIA
Points/Game 114.5 120.9
Avg Score Margin -0.7 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 12.0 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 45.0 54.7
Assists/Game 28.8 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 50.5 55.0
Effective FG % 55.1% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 25.8% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.239 0.266
Turnover % 13.8% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat GS MIA
Opp Points/Game 115.2 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 55.4% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 50.6 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.4 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 30.9 34.5
Blocks/Game 4.2 4.3
Steals/Game 9.7 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.6 18.7