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Monday Jan 19, 2026 10:00 pm -
San Francisco, CA
Odds:
Golden State by 5.5,
Total Points:
239.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State | MIA | 39.2% | ||
| GS | 60.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +4.5 | MIA | 51.6% | ||
| GS | 48.4% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 239.5 | Over | 50.0% | ||
| Under | 50.0% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +165 | MIA | +1.5% | ||
| GS | -5.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 117.7 | 117.5 | 112 |
| GS | 121.8 | 122.0 | 135 |
| Stat | MIA | GS |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 120.9 | 114.5 |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.3 | -0.7 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm | 18.4 | 12.0 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm | 54.7 | 45.0 |
| Assists/Game | 29.0 | 28.8 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 55.0 | 50.5 |
| Effective FG % | 54.2% | 55.1% |
| Off Rebound % | 25.3% | 25.8% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.266 | 0.239 |
| Turnover % | 11.4% | 13.8% |
| Stat | MIA | GS |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 118.6 | 115.2 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 54.0% | 55.4% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm | 52.0 | 50.6 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 11.8 | 11.4 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 34.5 | 30.9 |
| Blocks/Game | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Steals/Game | 8.6 | 9.7 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 18.7 | 19.6 |
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