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Miami at Golden State: Recap

Monday Jan 19, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 5.5, Total Points: 239.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Golden State MIA 39.2%
GS 60.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +4.5 MIA 51.6%
GS 48.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 239.5 Over 50.0%
Under 50.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +165 MIA +1.5%
GS -5.9%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 117.7 117.5 112
GS 121.8 122.0 135

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA GS
Points/Game 120.9 114.5
Avg Score Margin +2.3 -0.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 12.0
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 45.0
Assists/Game 29.0 28.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 50.5
Effective FG % 54.2% 55.1%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 25.8%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.239
Turnover % 11.4% 13.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA GS
Opp Points/Game 118.6 115.2
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 55.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 50.6
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 11.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 30.9
Blocks/Game 4.3 4.2
Steals/Game 8.6 9.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.6