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Miami at Toronto: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Apr 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Toronto, Ont
Odds: Toronto by 3.5, Total Points: 236.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ TOR

More Games From Apr 9, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 236.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 236.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 236.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	TOR
Season	47-36-0	37-52-0
vs Division	12-6-0	5-12-0
vs Conference	28-25-0	24-35-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 3
Last 5	4-1-0	4-1-0
Last 10	8-2-0	7-3-0
Home	23-18-0	20-24-0
Away	24-18-0	17-28-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Orlando	216.0	121-125	Over	+30.0
10/24	Away	Memphis	232.5	146-114	Over	+27.5
10/26	Home	New York	230.5	115-107	Under	-8.5
10/28	Home	Charlotte	241.5	144-117	Over	+19.5
10/30	Away	San Antonio	228.5	101-107	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	120-130	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	LA Clippers	227.5	120-119	Over	+11.5
11/05	Away	Denver	242.5	112-122	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Charlotte	235.5	126-108	Under	-1.5
11/08	Home	Portland	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
11/10	Home	Cleveland	248.5	140-138	Over	+29.5
11/12	Home	Cleveland	238.5	116-130	Over	+7.5
11/14	Away	New York	240.5	132-140	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	New York	244.5	115-113	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Golden State	234.5	110-96	Under	-28.5
11/21	Away	Chicago	250.5	143-107	Under	-0.5
11/23	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	127-117	Over	+3.5
11/24	Home	Dallas	240.5	106-102	Under	-32.5
11/26	Home	Milwaukee	236.5	106-103	Under	-27.5
11/29	Home	Detroit	239.5	135-138	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	140-123	Over	+27.5
12/03	Away	Dallas	238.5	108-118	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Orlando	241.5	105-106	Under	-30.5
12/06	Home	Sacramento	241.5	111-127	Under	-3.5
12/09	Away	Orlando	235.5	108-117	Under	-10.5
12/15	Home	Toronto	234.5	96-106	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	106-95	Under	-27.5
12/19	Away	Boston	232.5	116-129	Over	+12.5
12/21	Away	New York	236.5	125-132	Over	+20.5
12/23	Home	Toronto	227.5	91-112	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Atlanta	250.5	126-111	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	Indiana	233.5	142-116	Over	+24.5
12/29	Home	Denver	243.5	147-123	Over	+26.5
01/01	Away	Detroit	236.5	118-112	Under	-6.5
01/03	Home	Minnesota	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	New Orleans	246.5	125-106	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Minnesota	238.5	94-122	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Indiana	235.5	99-123	Under	-13.5
01/11	Away	Okla City	234.5	112-124	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	Phoenix	230.5	127-121	Over	+17.5
01/15	Home	Boston	235.5	114-119	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Okla City	234.5	122-120	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Golden State	239.5	112-135	Over	+7.5
01/20	Away	Sacramento	238.5	130-117	Over	+8.5
01/22	Away	Portland	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	Utah	245.5	147-116	Over	+17.5
01/25	Away	Phoenix	225.5	111-102	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	Orlando	233.5	124-133	Over	+23.5
01/29	Away	Chicago	238.5	116-113	Under	-9.5
01/31	Home	Chicago	231.5	118-125	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Chicago	233.5	134-91	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	Atlanta	237.5	115-127	Over	+4.5
02/06	Away	Boston	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
02/08	Away	Washington	236.5	132-101	Under	-3.5
02/09	Home	Utah	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
02/11	Away	New Orleans	233.5	123-111	Over	+0.5
02/20	Away	Atlanta	244.5	128-97	Under	-19.5
02/21	Home	Memphis	238.5	136-120	Over	+17.5
02/24	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/26	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	117-124	Over	+0.5
02/28	Home	Houston	226.5	115-105	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	124-98	Under	-4.5
03/05	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	126-110	Over	+10.5
03/06	Away	Charlotte	230.5	128-120	Over	+17.5
03/08	Home	Detroit	231.5	121-110	Under	-0.5
03/10	Home	Washington	235.5	150-129	Over	+43.5
03/12	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	112-105	Under	-17.5
03/14	Home	Orlando	237.0	117-121	Over	+1.0
03/17	Away	Charlotte	236.5	106-136	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	126-134	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Houston	228.5	122-123	Over	+16.5
03/23	Home	San Antonio	244.5	111-136	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Cleveland	243.5	120-103	Under	-20.5
03/27	Away	Cleveland	240.5	128-149	Over	+36.5
03/29	Away	Indiana	245.5	118-135	Over	+7.5
03/30	Home	Philadelphia	243.5	119-109	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Boston	230.5	129-147	Over	+45.5
04/04	Home	Washington	245.5	152-136	Over	+42.5
04/07	Away	Toronto	240.5	95-121	Under	-24.5
04/09	Away	Toronto	236.5	114-128	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	Washington	244.5	140-117	Over	+12.5
04/12	Home	Atlanta	240.5	143-117	Over	+19.5
04/14	Away	Charlotte	228.5	126-127	Over	+24.5

Toronto Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Atlanta	237.0	138-118	Over	+19.0
10/24	Home	Milwaukee	235.5	116-122	Over	+2.5
10/26	Away	Dallas	232.0	129-139	Over	+36.0
10/27	Away	San Antonio	232.5	103-121	Under	-8.5
10/29	Home	Houston	234.5	121-139	Over	+25.5
10/31	Away	Cleveland	236.5	112-101	Under	-23.5
11/02	Home	Memphis	238.5	117-104	Under	-17.5
11/04	Home	Milwaukee	237.5	128-100	Under	-9.5
11/07	Away	Atlanta	235.5	109-97	Under	-29.5
11/08	Away	Philadelphia	236.5	120-130	Over	+13.5
11/11	Away	Brooklyn	231.5	119-109	Under	-3.5
11/13	Away	Cleveland	238.5	126-113	Over	+0.5
11/15	Away	Indiana	236.5	129-111	Over	+3.5
11/17	Home	Charlotte	240.5	110-108	Under	-22.5
11/19	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	121-112	Under	-1.5
11/21	Home	Washington	238.5	140-110	Over	+11.5
11/23	Home	Brooklyn	229.5	119-109	Under	-1.5
11/24	Home	Cleveland	232.5	110-99	Under	-23.5
11/26	Home	Indiana	233.5	97-95	Under	-41.5
11/29	Away	Charlotte	233.5	111-118	Under	-4.5
11/30	Away	New York	229.5	94-116	Under	-19.5
12/02	Home	Portland	230.5	121-118	Over	+8.5
12/04	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	120-123	Over	+14.5
12/05	Home	Charlotte	230.5	86-111	Under	-33.5
12/07	Home	Boston	224.5	113-121	Over	+9.5
12/09	Home	New York	226.5	101-117	Under	-8.5
12/15	Away	Miami	234.5	106-96	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Milwaukee	218.5	111-105	Under	-2.5
12/20	Home	Boston	221.5	96-112	Under	-13.5
12/21	Away	Brooklyn	215.5	81-96	Under	-38.5
12/23	Away	Miami	227.5	112-91	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Washington	225.5	117-138	Over	+29.5
12/28	Home	Golden State	227.5	141-127	Over	+40.5
12/29	Home	Orlando	220.5	107-106	Under	-7.5
12/31	Home	Denver	229.5	103-106	Under	-20.5
01/03	Home	Atlanta	231.5	134-117	Over	+19.5
01/05	Home	Atlanta	236.5	118-100	Under	-18.5
01/07	Away	Charlotte	229.5	97-96	Under	-36.5
01/09	Away	Boston	224.5	117-125	Over	+17.5
01/11	Home	Philadelphia	220.5	116-115	Over	+10.5
01/12	Home	Philadelphia	221.5	102-115	Under	-4.5
01/14	Away	Indiana	220.5	115-101	Under	-4.5
01/16	Home	LA Clippers	212.5	117-121	Over	+25.5
01/18	Away	LA Lakers	227.5	93-110	Under	-24.5
01/20	Away	Golden State	225.5	145-127	Over	+46.5
01/21	Away	Sacramento	225.5	122-109	Over	+5.5
01/23	Away	Portland	224.5	110-98	Under	-16.5
01/25	Away	Okla City	224.5	103-101	Under	-20.5
01/28	Home	New York	221.5	92-119	Under	-10.5
01/30	Away	Orlando	222.5	120-130	Over	+27.5
02/01	Home	Utah	234.5	107-100	Under	-27.5
02/04	Home	Minnesota	228.5	126-128	Over	+25.5
02/05	Home	Chicago	227.5	123-107	Over	+2.5
02/08	Home	Indiana	226.5	122-104	Under	-0.5
02/11	Home	Detroit	223.5	95-113	Under	-15.5
02/19	Away	Chicago	235.5	110-101	Under	-24.5
02/22	Away	Milwaukee	219.5	122-94	Under	-3.5
02/24	Home	Okla City	217.5	107-116	Over	+5.5
02/25	Home	San Antonio	230.5	107-110	Under	-13.5
02/28	Away	Washington	229.5	134-125	Over	+29.5
03/03	Home	New York	221.5	95-111	Under	-15.5
03/05	Away	Minnesota	226.5	107-115	Under	-4.5
03/08	Home	Dallas	233.5	122-92	Under	-19.5
03/10	Away	Houston	220.5	99-113	Under	-8.5
03/11	Away	New Orleans	235.5	111-122	Under	-2.5
03/13	Home	Phoenix	221.5	122-115	Over	+15.5
03/15	Home	Detroit	224.5	119-108	Over	+2.5
03/18	Away	Chicago	237.5	139-109	Over	+10.5
03/20	Away	Denver	238.5	115-121	Under	-2.5
03/22	Away	Phoenix	219.5	98-120	Under	-1.5
03/23	Away	Utah	231.5	143-127	Over	+38.5
03/25	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	94-119	Under	-13.5
03/27	Home	New Orleans	229.5	119-106	Under	-4.5
03/29	Home	Orlando	226.5	139-87	Under	-0.5
03/31	Away	Detroit	220.5	116-127	Over	+22.5
04/01	Home	Sacramento	226.5	115-123	Over	+11.5
04/03	Away	Memphis	233.5	128-96	Under	-9.5
04/05	Away	Boston	220.5	101-115	Under	-4.5
04/07	Home	Miami	240.5	121-95	Under	-24.5
04/09	Home	Miami	236.5	128-114	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	New York	219.5	95-112	Under	-12.5
04/12	Home	Brooklyn	219.5	136-101	Over	+17.5
04/18	Away	Cleveland	221.5	113-126	Over	+17.5
04/20	Away	Cleveland	221.5	105-115	Under	-1.5
04/23	Home	Cleveland	221.5	126-104	Over	+8.5
04/26	Home	Cleveland	219.5	93-89	Under	-37.5
04/29	Away	Cleveland	219.5	120-125	Over	+25.5
05/01	Home	Cleveland	219.5	112-110	Over	+2.5
05/03	Away	Cleveland	209.5	102-114	Over	+6.5