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Miami at Toronto: Recap

Thursday Apr 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Toronto, Ont
Odds: Toronto by 3.5, Total Points: 236.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Toronto MIA 41.0%
TOR 59.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
TOR -3.5 MIA 49.8%
TOR 50.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 236.5 Over 49.9%
Under 50.1%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -1.5%
TOR -2.6%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 116.4 116.5 114
TOR 120.0 120.0 128

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TOR
Points/Game 120.9 114.3
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +2.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 18.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 53.1
Assists/Game 29.0 29.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 50.9
Effective FG % 54.2% 54.5%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 25.5%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.268
Turnover % 11.4% 12.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TOR
Opp Points/Game 118.6 111.8
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 47.8
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 11.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 31.0
Blocks/Game 4.3 4.9
Steals/Game 8.6 8.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 21.0