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Miami at Toronto: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Apr 9, 2026 7:00 pm - Toronto, Ont
Odds: Toronto by 3.5, Total Points: 236.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ TOR

More Games From Apr 9, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Toronto -3.5 Official TR Pick Toronto 50% odds to cover
Toronto -3.5 Decision Tree Toronto 50% odds to cover
Toronto -3.5 Similar Games Toronto 56% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Power Rating Model Miami 58% odds to cover
Miami +3.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv TOR
Season 47-36-0 46-43-0
vs Division 12-6-0 4-13-0
vs Conference 30-23-0 32-27-0
Streak W3 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 4-1-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-4-0
Home 23-18-0 24-20-0
Away 24-18-0 22-23-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5

Toronto Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Atlanta +5.5 W by 20 +25.5
10/24 Home Milwaukee -2.0 L by 6 -8.0
10/26 Away Dallas -1.0 L by 10 -11.0
10/27 Away San Antonio +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
10/29 Home Houston +5.5 L by 18 -12.5
10/31 Away Cleveland +4.5 W by 11 +15.5
11/02 Home Memphis -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
11/04 Home Milwaukee -2.5 W by 28 +25.5
11/07 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 12 +14.5
11/08 Away Philadelphia +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
11/11 Away Brooklyn -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
11/13 Away Cleveland +7.5 W by 13 +20.5
11/15 Away Indiana -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/17 Home Charlotte -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
11/19 Away Philadelphia -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
11/21 Home Washington -14.5 W by 30 +15.5
11/23 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
11/24 Home Cleveland -1.5 W by 11 +9.5
11/26 Home Indiana -10.5 W by 2 -8.5
11/29 Away Charlotte -7.5 L by 7 -14.5
11/30 Away New York +8.5 L by 22 -13.5
12/02 Home Portland -5.5 W by 3 -2.5
12/04 Home LA Lakers -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
12/05 Home Charlotte -6.5 L by 25 -31.5
12/07 Home Boston +3.5 L by 8 -4.5
12/09 Home New York +6.5 L by 16 -9.5
12/15 Away Miami +4.5 W by 10 +14.5
12/18 Away Milwaukee -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
12/20 Home Boston -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
12/21 Away Brooklyn -3.5 L by 15 -18.5
12/23 Away Miami +5.5 W by 21 +26.5
12/26 Away Washington -8.5 L by 21 -29.5
12/28 Home Golden State +4.5 W by 14 +18.5
12/29 Home Orlando +1.5 W by 1 +2.5
12/31 Home Denver -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
01/03 Home Atlanta -5.5 W by 17 +11.5
01/05 Home Atlanta -2.5 W by 18 +15.5
01/07 Away Charlotte -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
01/09 Away Boston +9.5 L by 8 +1.5
01/11 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
01/12 Home Philadelphia +3.5 L by 13 -9.5
01/14 Away Indiana +1.5 W by 14 +15.5
01/16 Home LA Clippers -2.5 L by 4 -6.5
01/18 Away LA Lakers +2.5 L by 17 -14.5
01/20 Away Golden State +4.5 W by 18 +22.5
01/21 Away Sacramento -5.5 W by 13 +7.5
01/23 Away Portland -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
01/25 Away Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/28 Home New York -1.5 L by 27 -28.5
01/30 Away Orlando +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
02/01 Home Utah -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
02/04 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 2 +0.5
02/05 Home Chicago -7.5 W by 16 +8.5
02/08 Home Indiana -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
02/11 Home Detroit -1.5 L by 18 -19.5
02/19 Away Chicago -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
02/22 Away Milwaukee -4.5 W by 28 +23.5
02/24 Home Okla City +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
02/25 Home San Antonio +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
02/28 Away Washington -13.5 W by 9 -4.5
03/03 Home New York +2.5 L by 16 -13.5
03/05 Away Minnesota +4.5 L by 8 -3.5
03/08 Home Dallas -9.5 W by 30 +20.5
03/10 Away Houston +4.5 L by 14 -9.5
03/11 Away New Orleans -2.5 L by 11 -13.5
03/13 Home Phoenix -5.5 W by 7 +1.5
03/15 Home Detroit +2.5 W by 11 +13.5
03/18 Away Chicago -7.5 W by 30 +22.5
03/20 Away Denver +6.5 L by 6 +0.5
03/22 Away Phoenix -4.5 L by 22 -26.5
03/23 Away Utah -10.5 W by 16 +5.5
03/25 Away LA Clippers +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/27 Home New Orleans -8.5 W by 13 +4.5
03/29 Home Orlando -1.5 W by 52 +50.5
03/31 Away Detroit +3.5 L by 11 -7.5
04/01 Home Sacramento -12.5 L by 8 -20.5
04/03 Away Memphis -14.5 W by 32 +17.5
04/05 Away Boston +9.5 L by 14 -4.5
04/07 Home Miami -1.5 W by 26 +24.5
04/09 Home Miami -3.5 W by 14 +10.5
04/10 Away New York +6.5 L by 17 -10.5
04/12 Home Brooklyn -23.5 W by 35 +11.5
04/18 Away Cleveland +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
04/20 Away Cleveland +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
04/23 Home Cleveland +2.5 W by 22 +24.5
04/26 Home Cleveland +4.5 W by 4 +8.5
04/29 Away Cleveland +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
05/01 Home Cleveland +4.5 W by 2 +6.5
05/03 Away Cleveland +8.5 L by 12 -3.5