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Miami at Detroit: Recap

Thursday Jan 1, 2026 7:00 pm - Detroit, MI
Odds: Detroit by 4.5, Total Points: 236.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Detroit MIA 36.8%
DET 63.2%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DET -4.5 MIA 49.1%
DET 50.9%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 236.5 Over 49.8%
Under 50.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.6%
DET -2.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 115.8 116.0 118
DET 120.6 120.5 112

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DET
Points/Game 120.9 115.9
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +7.2
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 17.5
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 56.0
Assists/Game 29.0 27.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 55.4
Effective FG % 54.2% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 30.8%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.294
Turnover % 11.4% 13.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DET
Opp Points/Game 118.6 108.7
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 51.5%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 43.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 13.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 32.3
Blocks/Game 4.3 6.5
Steals/Game 8.6 10.2
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 22.2