This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NBA season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NBA section, register for a free account.

Miami at Detroit: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Jan 1, 2026 7:00 pm - Detroit, MI
Odds: Detroit by 4.5, Total Points: 236.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ DET

More Games From Jan 1, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 236.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 236.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 236.5	Similar Games	61% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	DET
Season	47-36-0	45-50-1
vs Division	12-6-0	13-10-0
vs Conference	28-25-0	32-34-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	4-1-0
Last 10	8-2-0	6-4-0
Home	23-18-0	23-25-0
Away	24-18-0	22-25-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Orlando	216.0	121-125	Over	+30.0
10/24	Away	Memphis	232.5	146-114	Over	+27.5
10/26	Home	New York	230.5	115-107	Under	-8.5
10/28	Home	Charlotte	241.5	144-117	Over	+19.5
10/30	Away	San Antonio	228.5	101-107	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	120-130	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	LA Clippers	227.5	120-119	Over	+11.5
11/05	Away	Denver	242.5	112-122	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Charlotte	235.5	126-108	Under	-1.5
11/08	Home	Portland	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
11/10	Home	Cleveland	248.5	140-138	Over	+29.5
11/12	Home	Cleveland	238.5	116-130	Over	+7.5
11/14	Away	New York	240.5	132-140	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	New York	244.5	115-113	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Golden State	234.5	110-96	Under	-28.5
11/21	Away	Chicago	250.5	143-107	Under	-0.5
11/23	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	127-117	Over	+3.5
11/24	Home	Dallas	240.5	106-102	Under	-32.5
11/26	Home	Milwaukee	236.5	106-103	Under	-27.5
11/29	Home	Detroit	239.5	135-138	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	140-123	Over	+27.5
12/03	Away	Dallas	238.5	108-118	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Orlando	241.5	105-106	Under	-30.5
12/06	Home	Sacramento	241.5	111-127	Under	-3.5
12/09	Away	Orlando	235.5	108-117	Under	-10.5
12/15	Home	Toronto	234.5	96-106	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	106-95	Under	-27.5
12/19	Away	Boston	232.5	116-129	Over	+12.5
12/21	Away	New York	236.5	125-132	Over	+20.5
12/23	Home	Toronto	227.5	91-112	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Atlanta	250.5	126-111	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	Indiana	233.5	142-116	Over	+24.5
12/29	Home	Denver	243.5	147-123	Over	+26.5
01/01	Away	Detroit	236.5	118-112	Under	-6.5
01/03	Home	Minnesota	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	New Orleans	246.5	125-106	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Minnesota	238.5	94-122	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Indiana	235.5	99-123	Under	-13.5
01/11	Away	Okla City	234.5	112-124	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	Phoenix	230.5	127-121	Over	+17.5
01/15	Home	Boston	235.5	114-119	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Okla City	234.5	122-120	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Golden State	239.5	112-135	Over	+7.5
01/20	Away	Sacramento	238.5	130-117	Over	+8.5
01/22	Away	Portland	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	Utah	245.5	147-116	Over	+17.5
01/25	Away	Phoenix	225.5	111-102	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	Orlando	233.5	124-133	Over	+23.5
01/29	Away	Chicago	238.5	116-113	Under	-9.5
01/31	Home	Chicago	231.5	118-125	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Chicago	233.5	134-91	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	Atlanta	237.5	115-127	Over	+4.5
02/06	Away	Boston	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
02/08	Away	Washington	236.5	132-101	Under	-3.5
02/09	Home	Utah	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
02/11	Away	New Orleans	233.5	123-111	Over	+0.5
02/20	Away	Atlanta	244.5	128-97	Under	-19.5
02/21	Home	Memphis	238.5	136-120	Over	+17.5
02/24	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/26	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	117-124	Over	+0.5
02/28	Home	Houston	226.5	115-105	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	124-98	Under	-4.5
03/05	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	126-110	Over	+10.5
03/06	Away	Charlotte	230.5	128-120	Over	+17.5
03/08	Home	Detroit	231.5	121-110	Under	-0.5
03/10	Home	Washington	235.5	150-129	Over	+43.5
03/12	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	112-105	Under	-17.5
03/14	Home	Orlando	237.0	117-121	Over	+1.0
03/17	Away	Charlotte	236.5	106-136	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	126-134	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Houston	228.5	122-123	Over	+16.5
03/23	Home	San Antonio	244.5	111-136	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Cleveland	243.5	120-103	Under	-20.5
03/27	Away	Cleveland	240.5	128-149	Over	+36.5
03/29	Away	Indiana	245.5	118-135	Over	+7.5
03/30	Home	Philadelphia	243.5	119-109	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Boston	230.5	129-147	Over	+45.5
04/04	Home	Washington	245.5	152-136	Over	+42.5
04/07	Away	Toronto	240.5	95-121	Under	-24.5
04/09	Away	Toronto	236.5	114-128	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	Washington	244.5	140-117	Over	+12.5
04/12	Home	Atlanta	240.5	143-117	Over	+19.5
04/14	Away	Charlotte	228.5	126-127	Over	+24.5

Detroit Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Chicago	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
10/24	Away	Houston	226.0	115-111	Push	0.0
10/26	Home	Boston	227.0	119-113	Over	+5.0
10/27	Home	Cleveland	231.0	95-116	Under	-20.0
10/29	Home	Orlando	227.5	135-116	Over	+23.5
11/01	Neutral	Dallas	227.0	122-110	Over	+5.0
11/03	Away	Memphis	236.0	114-106	Under	-16.0
11/05	Home	Utah	233.5	114-103	Under	-16.5
11/07	Away	Brooklyn	227.5	125-107	Over	+4.5
11/09	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	111-108	Under	-15.5
11/10	Home	Washington	236.5	137-135	Over	+35.5
11/12	Home	Chicago	229.5	124-113	Over	+7.5
11/14	Home	Philadelphia	228.5	114-105	Under	-9.5
11/17	Home	Indiana	230.5	127-112	Over	+8.5
11/18	Away	Atlanta	227.5	120-112	Over	+4.5
11/22	Away	Milwaukee	225.5	129-116	Over	+19.5
11/24	Away	Indiana	236.5	122-117	Over	+2.5
11/26	Away	Boston	232.5	114-117	Under	-1.5
11/28	Home	Orlando	230.5	109-112	Under	-9.5
11/29	Away	Miami	239.5	138-135	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	Atlanta	232.5	99-98	Under	-35.5
12/03	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	109-113	Under	-6.5
12/05	Home	Portland	236.5	122-116	Over	+1.5
12/06	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	124-112	Over	+12.5
12/12	Home	Atlanta	233.5	142-115	Over	+23.5
12/15	Away	Boston	231.5	112-105	Under	-14.5
12/18	Away	Dallas	230.5	114-116	Under	-0.5
12/20	Home	Charlotte	235.5	112-86	Under	-37.5
12/22	Away	Portland	234.5	110-102	Under	-22.5
12/23	Away	Sacramento	226.5	136-127	Over	+36.5
12/26	Away	Utah	245.5	129-131	Over	+14.5
12/28	Away	LA Clippers	224.5	99-112	Under	-13.5
12/30	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	128-106	Over	+1.5
01/01	Home	Miami	236.5	112-118	Under	-6.5
01/04	Away	Cleveland	239.5	114-110	Under	-15.5
01/05	Home	New York	232.5	121-90	Under	-21.5
01/07	Home	Chicago	227.5	108-93	Under	-26.5
01/10	Home	LA Clippers	214.5	92-98	Under	-24.5
01/15	Home	Phoenix	219.5	108-105	Under	-6.5
01/17	Home	Indiana	226.5	121-78	Under	-27.5
01/19	Home	Boston	223.5	104-103	Under	-16.5
01/21	Away	New Orleans	233.5	112-104	Under	-17.5
01/23	Home	Houston	217.5	104-111	Under	-2.5
01/25	Home	Sacramento	226.5	139-116	Over	+28.5
01/27	Away	Denver	215.5	109-107	Over	+0.5
01/29	Away	Phoenix	213.5	96-114	Under	-3.5
01/30	Away	Golden State	225.5	131-124	Over	+29.5
02/01	Home	Brooklyn	213.5	130-77	Under	-6.5
02/03	Home	Denver	229.5	124-121	Over	+15.5
02/05	Home	Washington	227.5	117-126	Over	+15.5
02/06	Home	New York	218.5	118-80	Under	-20.5
02/09	Away	Charlotte	222.5	110-104	Under	-8.5
02/11	Away	Toronto	223.5	113-95	Under	-15.5
02/19	Away	New York	219.5	126-111	Over	+17.5
02/21	Away	Chicago	234.5	126-110	Over	+1.5
02/23	Home	San Antonio	232.5	103-114	Under	-15.5
02/25	Home	Okla City	221.5	124-116	Over	+18.5
02/27	Home	Cleveland	226.5	122-119	Over	+14.5
03/01	Away	Orlando	224.5	106-92	Under	-26.5
03/03	Away	Cleveland	227.5	109-113	Under	-5.5
03/05	Away	San Antonio	228.5	106-121	Under	-1.5
03/07	Home	Brooklyn	214.5	105-107	Under	-2.5
03/08	Away	Miami	231.5	110-121	Under	-0.5
03/10	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	138-100	Over	+21.5
03/12	Home	Philadelphia	223.5	131-109	Over	+16.5
03/13	Home	Memphis	233.5	126-110	Over	+2.5
03/15	Away	Toronto	224.5	108-119	Over	+2.5
03/17	Away	Washington	234.5	130-117	Over	+12.5
03/19	Away	Washington	231.5	117-95	Under	-19.5
03/20	Home	Golden State	219.5	115-101	Under	-3.5
03/23	Home	LA Lakers	224.5	113-110	Under	-1.5
03/25	Home	Atlanta	229.5	129-130	Over	+29.5
03/26	Home	New Orleans	226.5	129-108	Over	+10.5
03/28	Away	Minnesota	222.5	109-87	Under	-26.5
03/30	Away	Okla City	216.5	110-114	Over	+7.5
03/31	Home	Toronto	220.5	127-116	Over	+22.5
04/02	Home	Minnesota	224.5	113-108	Under	-3.5
04/04	Away	Philadelphia	226.5	116-93	Under	-17.5
04/06	Away	Orlando	222.5	107-123	Over	+7.5
04/08	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	137-111	Over	+24.5
04/10	Away	Charlotte	225.5	118-100	Under	-7.5
04/12	Away	Indiana	231.5	133-121	Over	+22.5
04/19	Home	Orlando	221.5	101-112	Under	-8.5
04/22	Home	Orlando	218.5	98-83	Under	-37.5
04/25	Away	Orlando	215.5	105-113	Over	+2.5
04/27	Away	Orlando	214.5	88-94	Under	-32.5
04/29	Home	Orlando	210.5	116-109	Over	+14.5
05/01	Away	Orlando	210.5	93-79	Under	-38.5
05/03	Home	Orlando	201.5	116-94	Over	+8.5
05/05	Home	Cleveland	216.5	111-101	Under	-4.5
05/07	Home	Cleveland	215.5	107-97	Under	-11.5
05/09	Away	Cleveland	212.5	109-116	Over	+12.5
05/11	Away	Cleveland	212.5	103-112	Over	+2.5
05/13	Home	Cleveland	211.5	113-117	Over	+18.5
05/15	Away	Cleveland	209.5	115-94	Under	-0.5
05/17	Home	Cleveland	204.5	94-125	Over	+14.5