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Miami at Denver: Recap

Wednesday Nov 5, 2025 9:00 pm - Denver, CO
Odds: Denver by 9.5, Total Points: 242.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Denver MIA 19.6%
DEN 80.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +9.5 MIA 50.3%
DEN 49.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 242.5 Over 48.8%
Under 51.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -3.9%
DEN -0.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 116.2 116.5 112
DEN 125.6 126.0 122

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DEN
Points/Game 120.9 121.1
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +4.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 15.2
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 49.1
Assists/Game 29.0 28.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 52.9
Effective FG % 54.2% 57.2%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 23.1%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.298
Turnover % 11.4% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DEN
Opp Points/Game 118.6 116.6
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 54.2%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 50.7
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 9.6
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 34.0
Blocks/Game 4.3 4.0
Steals/Game 8.6 6.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.4