This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NBA season.
To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NBA section,
register for a free account.
Friday Feb 20, 2026 7:30 pm -
Atlanta, GA
Odds:
Miami by 3.5,
Total Points:
244.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Miami |
|
| MIA |
59.4% |
| ATL |
40.6% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
MIA -3.5 |
|
| MIA |
50.6% |
| ATL |
49.4% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Over 244.5 |
|
| Over |
50.4% |
| Under |
49.6% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
MIA -145 |
|
| MIA |
+0.2% |
| ATL |
-4.8% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MIA |
124.2 |
124.0 | 128 |
| ATL |
120.6 |
120.5 | 97 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
ATL |
| Points/Game |
120.9 |
117.2 |
| Avg Score Margin |
+2.3 |
+1.1 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
18.4 |
17.7 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
54.7 |
51.1 |
| Assists/Game |
29.0 |
29.6 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
55.0 |
52.3 |
| Effective FG % |
54.2% |
55.1% |
| Off Rebound % |
25.3% |
24.1% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.266 |
0.236 |
| Turnover % |
11.4% |
12.2% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
ATL |
| Opp Points/Game |
118.6 |
116.2 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
54.0% |
54.7% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.0 |
52.1 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
11.8 |
10.9 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
34.5 |
32.2 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.3 |
4.7 |
| Steals/Game |
8.6 |
9.2 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
18.7 |
19.8 |