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Saturday Feb 21, 2026 8:00 pm -
Miami, FL
Odds:
Miami by 11.5,
Total Points:
238.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Miami |
|
| MEM |
15.4% |
| MIA |
84.6% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
MEM +11.5 |
|
| MEM |
51.9% |
| MIA |
48.1% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Over 238.5 |
|
| Over |
50.6% |
| Under |
49.4% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| MEM |
-4.6% |
| MIA |
0.0% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MEM |
113.9 |
113.5 | 120 |
| MIA |
124.9 |
125.0 | 136 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MEM |
MIA |
| Points/Game |
114.7 |
120.9 |
| Avg Score Margin |
-6.0 |
+2.3 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
15.0 |
18.4 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
48.6 |
54.7 |
| Assists/Game |
27.8 |
29.0 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
51.2 |
55.0 |
| Effective FG % |
53.3% |
54.2% |
| Off Rebound % |
24.7% |
25.3% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.251 |
0.266 |
| Turnover % |
12.9% |
11.4% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MEM |
MIA |
| Opp Points/Game |
120.7 |
118.6 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
56.2% |
54.0% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
53.9 |
52.0 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
11.2 |
11.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
31.0 |
34.5 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.8 |
4.3 |
| Steals/Game |
8.8 |
8.6 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
20.5 |
18.7 |