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Memphis at Miami: Recap

Saturday Feb 21, 2026 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 11.5, Total Points: 238.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MEM 15.4%
MIA 84.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MEM +11.5 MEM 51.9%
MIA 48.1%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 238.5 Over 50.6%
Under 49.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MEM -4.6%
MIA 0.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MEM 113.9 113.5 120
MIA 124.9 125.0 136

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MEM MIA
Points/Game 114.7 120.9
Avg Score Margin -6.0 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 15.0 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 48.6 54.7
Assists/Game 27.8 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 51.2 55.0
Effective FG % 53.3% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 24.7% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.251 0.266
Turnover % 12.9% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MEM MIA
Opp Points/Game 120.7 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 56.2% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 53.9 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.2 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.0 34.5
Blocks/Game 4.8 4.3
Steals/Game 8.8 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.5 18.7