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Cleveland at Miami: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Nov 10, 2025 7:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Cleveland by 7.5, Total Points: 248.5

Matchup Menu: CLE @ MIA

More Games From Nov 10, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 248.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 248.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Under 248.5	Similar Games	58% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	CLE	MIA
Season	52-48-0	47-36-0
vs Division	10-13-0	12-6-0
vs Conference	37-33-0	28-25-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 4
Last 5	4-1-0	4-1-0
Last 10	7-3-0	8-2-0
Home	24-26-0	23-18-0
Away	28-22-0	24-18-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Cleveland Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	New York	229.0	111-119	Over	+1.0
10/24	Away	Brooklyn	230.0	131-124	Over	+25.0
10/26	Home	Milwaukee	234.0	118-113	Under	-3.0
10/27	Away	Detroit	231.0	116-95	Under	-20.0
10/29	Away	Boston	233.5	105-125	Under	-3.5
10/31	Home	Toronto	236.5	101-112	Under	-23.5
11/02	Home	Atlanta	230.0	117-109	Under	-4.0
11/05	Home	Philadelphia	234.5	132-121	Over	+18.5
11/07	Away	Washington	240.5	148-115	Over	+22.5
11/08	Home	Chicago	239.5	128-122	Over	+10.5
11/10	Away	Miami	248.5	138-140	Over	+29.5
11/12	Away	Miami	238.5	130-116	Over	+7.5
11/13	Home	Toronto	238.5	113-126	Over	+0.5
11/15	Home	Memphis	241.5	108-100	Under	-33.5
11/17	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	118-106	Under	-10.5
11/19	Home	Houston	233.5	104-114	Under	-15.5
11/21	Home	Indiana	241.5	120-109	Under	-12.5
11/23	Home	LA Clippers	229.5	120-105	Under	-4.5
11/24	Away	Toronto	232.5	99-110	Under	-23.5
11/28	Away	Atlanta	236.5	123-130	Over	+16.5
11/30	Home	Boston	235.5	115-117	Under	-3.5
12/01	Away	Indiana	231.5	135-119	Over	+22.5
12/03	Home	Portland	243.5	110-122	Under	-11.5
12/05	Home	San Antonio	239.5	130-117	Over	+7.5
12/06	Home	Golden State	230.5	94-99	Under	-37.5
12/12	Away	Washington	245.5	130-126	Over	+10.5
12/14	Home	Charlotte	232.5	111-119	Under	-2.5
12/17	Away	Chicago	242.5	111-127	Under	-4.5
12/19	Home	Chicago	237.5	125-136	Over	+23.5
12/22	Home	Charlotte	239.5	139-132	Over	+31.5
12/23	Home	New Orleans	248.5	141-118	Over	+10.5
12/25	Away	New York	241.5	124-126	Over	+8.5
12/27	Away	Houston	232.5	100-117	Under	-15.5
12/29	Away	San Antonio	243.5	113-101	Under	-29.5
12/31	Home	Phoenix	233.5	129-113	Over	+8.5
01/02	Home	Denver	240.5	113-108	Under	-19.5
01/04	Home	Detroit	239.5	110-114	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Indiana	237.5	120-116	Under	-1.5
01/08	Away	Minnesota	239.5	122-131	Over	+13.5
01/10	Home	Minnesota	240.5	146-134	Over	+39.5
01/12	Home	Utah	249.5	112-123	Under	-14.5
01/14	Away	Philadelphia	235.5	133-107	Over	+4.5
01/16	Away	Philadelphia	233.5	117-115	Under	-1.5
01/19	Home	Okla City	229.5	104-136	Over	+10.5
01/21	Away	Charlotte	237.5	94-87	Under	-56.5
01/23	Home	Sacramento	233.5	123-118	Over	+7.5
01/24	Away	Orlando	226.0	119-105	Under	-2.0
01/26	Home	Orlando	224.5	114-98	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	LA Lakers	234.5	129-99	Under	-6.5
01/30	Away	Phoenix	222.5	113-126	Over	+16.5
02/01	Away	Portland	227.5	130-111	Over	+13.5
02/04	Away	LA Clippers	221.5	124-91	Under	-6.5
02/07	Away	Sacramento	229.5	132-126	Over	+28.5
02/09	Away	Denver	242.5	119-117	Under	-6.5
02/11	Home	Washington	239.5	138-113	Over	+11.5
02/19	Home	Brooklyn	229.5	112-84	Under	-33.5
02/20	Away	Charlotte	228.5	118-113	Over	+2.5
02/22	Away	Okla City	228.5	113-121	Over	+5.5
02/24	Home	New York	231.5	109-94	Under	-28.5
02/25	Away	Milwaukee	220.5	116-118	Over	+13.5
02/27	Away	Detroit	226.5	119-122	Over	+14.5
03/01	Away	Brooklyn	223.5	106-102	Under	-15.5
03/03	Home	Detroit	227.5	113-109	Under	-5.5
03/08	Home	Boston	224.5	98-109	Under	-17.5
03/09	Home	Philadelphia	226.5	115-101	Under	-10.5
03/11	Away	Orlando	226.5	122-128	Over	+23.5
03/13	Away	Dallas	236.5	138-105	Over	+6.5
03/15	Home	Dallas	234.5	120-130	Over	+15.5
03/17	Away	Milwaukee	226.5	123-116	Over	+12.5
03/19	Away	Chicago	236.5	115-110	Under	-11.5
03/21	Away	New Orleans	237.5	111-106	Under	-20.5
03/24	Home	Orlando	230.5	136-131	Over	+36.5
03/25	Home	Miami	243.5	103-120	Under	-20.5
03/27	Home	Miami	240.5	149-128	Over	+36.5
03/30	Away	Utah	241.5	122-113	Under	-6.5
03/31	Away	LA Lakers	234.5	113-127	Over	+5.5
04/02	Away	Golden State	229.5	118-111	Under	-0.5
04/05	Home	Indiana	239.5	117-108	Under	-14.5
04/06	Away	Memphis	230.5	142-126	Over	+37.5
04/08	Home	Atlanta	235.5	122-116	Over	+2.5
04/10	Away	Atlanta	233.5	102-124	Under	-7.5
04/12	Home	Washington	234.5	130-117	Over	+12.5
04/18	Home	Toronto	221.5	126-113	Over	+17.5
04/20	Home	Toronto	221.5	115-105	Under	-1.5
04/23	Away	Toronto	221.5	104-126	Over	+8.5
04/26	Away	Toronto	219.5	89-93	Under	-37.5
04/29	Home	Toronto	219.5	125-120	Over	+25.5
05/01	Away	Toronto	219.5	110-112	Over	+2.5
05/03	Home	Toronto	209.5	114-102	Over	+6.5
05/05	Away	Detroit	216.5	101-111	Under	-4.5
05/07	Away	Detroit	215.5	97-107	Under	-11.5
05/09	Home	Detroit	212.5	116-109	Over	+12.5
05/11	Home	Detroit	212.5	112-103	Over	+2.5
05/13	Away	Detroit	211.5	117-113	Over	+18.5
05/15	Home	Detroit	209.5	94-115	Under	-0.5
05/17	Away	Detroit	204.5	125-94	Over	+14.5
05/19	Away	New York	217.5	104-115	Over	+1.5
05/21	Away	New York	215.5	93-109	Under	-13.5
05/23	Home	New York	215.5	108-121	Over	+13.5
05/25	Home	New York	218.5	93-130	Over	+4.5

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Orlando	216.0	121-125	Over	+30.0
10/24	Away	Memphis	232.5	146-114	Over	+27.5
10/26	Home	New York	230.5	115-107	Under	-8.5
10/28	Home	Charlotte	241.5	144-117	Over	+19.5
10/30	Away	San Antonio	228.5	101-107	Under	-20.5
11/02	Away	LA Lakers	232.5	120-130	Over	+17.5
11/03	Away	LA Clippers	227.5	120-119	Over	+11.5
11/05	Away	Denver	242.5	112-122	Under	-8.5
11/07	Home	Charlotte	235.5	126-108	Under	-1.5
11/08	Home	Portland	241.5	136-131	Over	+25.5
11/10	Home	Cleveland	248.5	140-138	Over	+29.5
11/12	Home	Cleveland	238.5	116-130	Over	+7.5
11/14	Away	New York	240.5	132-140	Over	+31.5
11/17	Home	New York	244.5	115-113	Under	-16.5
11/19	Home	Golden State	234.5	110-96	Under	-28.5
11/21	Away	Chicago	250.5	143-107	Under	-0.5
11/23	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	127-117	Over	+3.5
11/24	Home	Dallas	240.5	106-102	Under	-32.5
11/26	Home	Milwaukee	236.5	106-103	Under	-27.5
11/29	Home	Detroit	239.5	135-138	Over	+33.5
12/01	Home	LA Clippers	235.5	140-123	Over	+27.5
12/03	Away	Dallas	238.5	108-118	Under	-12.5
12/05	Away	Orlando	241.5	105-106	Under	-30.5
12/06	Home	Sacramento	241.5	111-127	Under	-3.5
12/09	Away	Orlando	235.5	108-117	Under	-10.5
12/15	Home	Toronto	234.5	96-106	Under	-32.5
12/18	Away	Brooklyn	228.5	106-95	Under	-27.5
12/19	Away	Boston	232.5	116-129	Over	+12.5
12/21	Away	New York	236.5	125-132	Over	+20.5
12/23	Home	Toronto	227.5	91-112	Under	-24.5
12/26	Away	Atlanta	250.5	126-111	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	Indiana	233.5	142-116	Over	+24.5
12/29	Home	Denver	243.5	147-123	Over	+26.5
01/01	Away	Detroit	236.5	118-112	Under	-6.5
01/03	Home	Minnesota	235.5	115-125	Over	+4.5
01/04	Home	New Orleans	246.5	125-106	Under	-15.5
01/06	Away	Minnesota	238.5	94-122	Under	-22.5
01/10	Away	Indiana	235.5	99-123	Under	-13.5
01/11	Away	Okla City	234.5	112-124	Over	+1.5
01/13	Home	Phoenix	230.5	127-121	Over	+17.5
01/15	Home	Boston	235.5	114-119	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Okla City	234.5	122-120	Over	+7.5
01/19	Away	Golden State	239.5	112-135	Over	+7.5
01/20	Away	Sacramento	238.5	130-117	Over	+8.5
01/22	Away	Portland	235.5	110-127	Over	+1.5
01/24	Away	Utah	245.5	147-116	Over	+17.5
01/25	Away	Phoenix	225.5	111-102	Under	-12.5
01/28	Home	Orlando	233.5	124-133	Over	+23.5
01/29	Away	Chicago	238.5	116-113	Under	-9.5
01/31	Home	Chicago	231.5	118-125	Over	+11.5
02/01	Home	Chicago	233.5	134-91	Under	-8.5
02/03	Home	Atlanta	237.5	115-127	Over	+4.5
02/06	Away	Boston	227.5	96-98	Under	-33.5
02/08	Away	Washington	236.5	132-101	Under	-3.5
02/09	Home	Utah	236.5	111-115	Under	-10.5
02/11	Away	New Orleans	233.5	123-111	Over	+0.5
02/20	Away	Atlanta	244.5	128-97	Under	-19.5
02/21	Home	Memphis	238.5	136-120	Over	+17.5
02/24	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	117-128	Over	+16.5
02/26	Away	Philadelphia	240.5	117-124	Over	+0.5
02/28	Home	Houston	226.5	115-105	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	124-98	Under	-4.5
03/05	Home	Brooklyn	225.5	126-110	Over	+10.5
03/06	Away	Charlotte	230.5	128-120	Over	+17.5
03/08	Home	Detroit	231.5	121-110	Under	-0.5
03/10	Home	Washington	235.5	150-129	Over	+43.5
03/12	Home	Milwaukee	234.5	112-105	Under	-17.5
03/14	Home	Orlando	237.0	117-121	Over	+1.0
03/17	Away	Charlotte	236.5	106-136	Over	+5.5
03/19	Home	LA Lakers	242.5	126-134	Over	+17.5
03/21	Away	Houston	228.5	122-123	Over	+16.5
03/23	Home	San Antonio	244.5	111-136	Over	+2.5
03/25	Away	Cleveland	243.5	120-103	Under	-20.5
03/27	Away	Cleveland	240.5	128-149	Over	+36.5
03/29	Away	Indiana	245.5	118-135	Over	+7.5
03/30	Home	Philadelphia	243.5	119-109	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Boston	230.5	129-147	Over	+45.5
04/04	Home	Washington	245.5	152-136	Over	+42.5
04/07	Away	Toronto	240.5	95-121	Under	-24.5
04/09	Away	Toronto	236.5	114-128	Over	+5.5
04/10	Away	Washington	244.5	140-117	Over	+12.5
04/12	Home	Atlanta	240.5	143-117	Over	+19.5
04/14	Away	Charlotte	228.5	126-127	Over	+24.5