Golden State at Phoenix: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jul 29, 2026 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Golden State by 3.5, Total Points: 157.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ PHX

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	GSV	PHX
Points	85.4	73.6
Total Points		158.9
Points From 2-Pointers	35.9	33.6
Points From 3-Pointers	35.7	21.8
Points From Free Throws	13.9	18.1

Shooting	GSV	PHX
Field Goals Made	29.8	24.1
Field Goals Attempted	68.2	59.8
Field Goal %	43.7%	40.3%
2 Pointers Made	17.9	16.8
2 Pointers Attempted	35.1	36.2
2 Point Shooting %	51.1%	46.5%
3 Pointers Made	11.9	7.3
3 Pointers Attempted	33.1	23.6
3 Point Shooting %	35.9%	30.7%
Free Throws Made	13.9	18.1
Free Throws Attempted	17.6	23.1
Free Throw %	78.7%	78.4%

Ball Control	GSV	PHX
Rebounds	40.9	37.6
Rebounds - Defensive	30.7	30.0
Rebounds - Offensive	10.3	7.6
Turnovers	10.5	13.4
Blocked Shots	3.9	2.5
Steals	7.0	5.3
Fouls	19.7	16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	GSV	PHX
Total Possessions	79.4
Effective Scoring Chances	79.1	73.6

% of Possessions with	GSV	PHX
2 Point Attempt	38.7%	40.8%
3 Point Attempt	36.5%	26.7%
Player Fouled	20.8%	24.8%
Turnover	13.3%	16.9%
Opponent Steal	6.6%	8.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken	GSV	PHX
Shot Blocked	4.3%	5.8%
Offensive Rebound	25.5%	19.8%