Golden State at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Sep 22, 2026 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: GSV @ PDX

More Games From Sep 22, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV PDX
Points 88.3 77.8
Total Points   166.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 29.0
Points From Free Throws 17.4 15.1
Shooting GSV PDX
Field Goals Made 29.8 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 68.3 63.1
Field Goal % 43.6% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.7 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 17.4 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 18.6
Free Throw % 77.9% 81.6%
Ball Control GSV PDX
Rebounds 42.0 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 8.9
Turnovers 10.6 14.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.3
Steals 8.0 5.3
Fouls 17.2 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV PDX
Total Possessions 79.8
Effective Scoring Chances 82.2 74.2
% of Possessions with GSV PDX
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 30.6%
Player Fouled 24.2% 21.5%
Turnover 13.3% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV PDX
Shot Blocked 5.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 23.5%