Toronto at Phoenix: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Aug 29, 2026 10:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Phoenix by 8.5, Total Points: 171.5

Matchup Menu: TOR @ PHX

More Games From Aug 29, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOR PHX
Points 87.1 88.6
Total Points   175.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.6 24.7
Points From Free Throws 15.8 19.6
Shooting TOR PHX
Field Goals Made 30.4 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 67.2 65.9
Field Goal % 45.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 15.8 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 25.0
Free Throw % 79.5% 78.4%
Ball Control TOR PHX
Rebounds 38.7 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.2
Turnovers 13.3 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.9
Steals 5.8 7.0
Fouls 21.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOR PHX
Total Possessions 83.3
Effective Scoring Chances 79.5 81.0
% of Possessions with TOR PHX
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 27.0%
Player Fouled 20.7% 25.4%
Turnover 16.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOR PHX
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 24.0%