Connecticut at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Monday May 25, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 13.5, Total Points: 158.5

Matchup Menu: CON @ GSV

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	CON	GSV
Points	70.1	85.4
Total Points		155.5
Points From 2-Pointers	37.2	38.0
Points From 3-Pointers	17.2	30.2
Points From Free Throws	15.7	17.2

Shooting	CON	GSV
Field Goals Made	24.3	29.1
Field Goals Attempted	63.1	65.8
Field Goal %	38.6%	44.2%
2 Pointers Made	18.6	19.0
2 Pointers Attempted	43.2	38.0
2 Point Shooting %	43.1%	50.0%
3 Pointers Made	5.7	10.1
3 Pointers Attempted	19.9	27.8
3 Point Shooting %	28.7%	36.2%
Free Throws Made	15.7	17.2
Free Throws Attempted	21.9	21.8
Free Throw %	71.6%	78.7%

Ball Control	CON	GSV
Rebounds	39.0	41.9
Rebounds - Defensive	28.4	31.3
Rebounds - Offensive	10.6	10.6
Turnovers	13.9	11.4
Blocked Shots	3.9	4.6
Steals	5.8	7.4
Fouls	19.5	17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	CON	GSV
Total Possessions	79.8
Effective Scoring Chances	76.5	78.9

% of Possessions with	CON	GSV
2 Point Attempt	46.8%	41.3%
3 Point Attempt	21.6%	30.2%
Player Fouled	22.3%	24.4%
Turnover	17.5%	14.3%
Opponent Steal	9.2%	7.3%

Odds Per Shot Taken	CON	GSV
Shot Blocked	7.1%	6.4%
Offensive Rebound	25.3%	27.1%