Connecticut at Toronto: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jun 10, 2026 7:00 pm - Toronto, ON
Odds: Toronto by 8.5, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: CON @ TOR

More Games From Jun 10, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CON TOR
Points 85.9 87.1
Total Points   173.1
Points From 2-Pointers 49.3 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 26.5
Points From Free Throws 17.1 19.6
Shooting CON TOR
Field Goals Made 31.2 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 70.1 64.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 48.6 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.1 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 24.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 79.5%
Ball Control CON TOR
Rebounds 40.8 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.7
Turnovers 12.0 14.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.4
Steals 7.8 6.1
Fouls 20.3 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CON TOR
Total Possessions 83.8
Effective Scoring Chances 84.9 79.0
% of Possessions with CON TOR
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 26.0%
Player Fouled 22.8% 24.2%
Turnover 14.3% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CON TOR
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 26.0%