Seattle at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Sep 19, 2026 9:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: SEA @ GSV

More Games From Sep 19, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA GSV
Points 73.5 83.5
Total Points   156.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 31.7
Points From Free Throws 15.1 16.6
Shooting SEA GSV
Field Goals Made 25.1 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.4 71.1
Field Goal % 38.4% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.7 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 15.1 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 21.2
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.3%
Ball Control SEA GSV
Rebounds 41.7 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 13.5
Turnovers 14.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.9
Steals 5.4 8.3
Fouls 16.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA GSV
Total Possessions 81.2
Effective Scoring Chances 77.1 84.1
% of Possessions with SEA GSV
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 34.5%
Player Fouled 19.0% 20.8%
Turnover 17.3% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA GSV
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 29.8%