Seattle at Toronto: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday May 13, 2026 7:00 pm - Toronto, ON
Odds: Toronto by 2.5, Total Points: 168.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ TOR

More Games From May 13, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA TOR
Points 90.3 87.4
Total Points   177.7
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 30.1
Points From Free Throws 16.4 18.4
Shooting SEA TOR
Field Goals Made 32.3 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 72.1 69.2
Field Goal % 44.9% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 30.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 16.4 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 22.7
Free Throw % 78.7% 81.0%
Ball Control SEA TOR
Rebounds 43.0 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 30.6 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 11.2
Turnovers 12.0 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.9
Steals 6.8 7.2
Fouls 17.6 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA TOR
Total Possessions 84.8
Effective Scoring Chances 85.3 83.1
% of Possessions with SEA TOR
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 31.0%
Player Fouled 19.4% 20.7%
Turnover 14.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA TOR
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 26.9%