Seattle at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jul 15, 2026 12:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Chicago by 2.5, Total Points: 170.5

Matchup Menu: SEA @ CHI

More Games From Jul 15, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEA CHI
Points 85.6 86.5
Total Points   172.1
Points From 2-Pointers 45.2 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 22.2
Points From Free Throws 17.6 19.8
Shooting SEA CHI
Field Goals Made 30.2 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 71.8 70.9
Field Goal % 42.1% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 46.3 46.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 17.6 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 25.7
Free Throw % 79.2% 77.1%
Ball Control SEA CHI
Rebounds 44.5 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 33.2 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 10.8
Turnovers 13.1 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.3
Steals 7.0 7.6
Fouls 17.1 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEA CHI
Total Possessions 87.0
Effective Scoring Chances 85.2 85.7
% of Possessions with SEA CHI
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 24.6%
Player Fouled 18.9% 19.6%
Turnover 15.0% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEA CHI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 24.5%