Los Angeles at New York: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jul 26, 2025 7:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 10.5, Total Points: 175.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS NYL
Points 87.4 93.5
Total Points   180.9
Points From 2-Pointers 46.0 45.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 31.7
Points From Free Throws 13.4 16.2
Shooting LAS NYL
Field Goals Made 32.3 33.4
Field Goals Attempted 70.3 69.5
Field Goal % 46.0% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.0 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 13.4 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 19.0
Free Throw % 76.9% 85.3%
Ball Control LAS NYL
Rebounds 34.5 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.8
Turnovers 12.0 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.0
Steals 6.7 6.7
Fouls 18.0 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS NYL
Total Possessions 84.6
Effective Scoring Chances 80.4 81.6
% of Possessions with LAS NYL
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 31.8%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.3%
Turnover 14.2% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS NYL
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 28.8%