Los Angeles at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Aug 2, 2026 3:30 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Portland by 1.5, Total Points: 185.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAS PDX
Points 92.1 92.6
Total Points   184.6
Points From 2-Pointers 47.0 43.6
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 34.0
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.9
Shooting LAS PDX
Field Goals Made 32.7 33.1
Field Goals Attempted 66.8 69.1
Field Goal % 48.9% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 23.5 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.3% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 18.3
Free Throw % 79.1% 81.7%
Ball Control LAS PDX
Rebounds 37.1 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.0
Turnovers 14.2 14.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.9
Steals 7.8 7.8
Fouls 16.8 21.2

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAS PDX
Total Possessions 85.0
Effective Scoring Chances 80.3 80.6
% of Possessions with LAS PDX
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 32.9%
Player Fouled 25.0% 19.8%
Turnover 16.7% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAS PDX
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 26.6%