Chicago at Connecticut: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Aug 25, 2026 7:00 pm - Uncasville, CT
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: CHI @ CON

More Games From Aug 25, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI CON
Points 86.5 83.0
Total Points   169.6
Points From 2-Pointers 44.0 48.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 15.1
Points From Free Throws 21.2 19.0
Shooting CHI CON
Field Goals Made 29.1 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 68.7
Field Goal % 44.3% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 22.0 24.4
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 21.2 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 27.0
Free Throw % 76.8% 70.6%
Ball Control CHI CON
Rebounds 39.2 43.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.6 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.8
Turnovers 13.2 13.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 6.8
Steals 7.0 7.5
Fouls 19.6 20.7

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI CON
Total Possessions 85.8
Effective Scoring Chances 81.2 85.1
% of Possessions with CHI CON
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.7% 17.5%
Player Fouled 24.2% 22.8%
Turnover 15.4% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI CON
Shot Blocked 10.1% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 29.5%