Chicago at Atlanta: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jul 19, 2026 4:00 pm - College Park, GA
Odds: Atlanta by 12.5, Total Points: 179.5

Matchup Menu: CHI @ ATL

More Games From Jul 19, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI ATL
Points 89.7 92.3
Total Points   182.1
Points From 2-Pointers 50.1 47.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 21.0
Points From Free Throws 18.6 24.3
Shooting CHI ATL
Field Goals Made 32.1 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 70.6
Field Goal % 48.7% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.0 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 46.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 18.6 24.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 30.7
Free Throw % 76.8% 79.1%
Ball Control CHI ATL
Rebounds 35.6 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 14.5
Turnovers 14.5 12.8
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.0
Steals 6.2 8.3
Fouls 20.2 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI ATL
Total Possessions 87.4
Effective Scoring Chances 79.7 89.1
% of Possessions with CHI ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 23.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.1%
Turnover 16.5% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI ATL
Shot Blocked 7.2% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 33.5%