Minnesota at Chicago: Box Score Simulation

Saturday May 23, 2026 1:00 pm - Chicago, IL
Odds: Minnesota by 1.5, Total Points: 168.5

Matchup Menu: MIN @ CHI

More Games From May 23, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN CHI
Points 94.6 83.6
Total Points   178.2
Points From 2-Pointers 51.9 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 24.2
Points From Free Throws 17.1 16.1
Shooting MIN CHI
Field Goals Made 34.5 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 72.4 70.2
Field Goal % 47.6% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 45.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 47.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 17.1 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 20.9
Free Throw % 81.5% 76.8%
Ball Control MIN CHI
Rebounds 43.7 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 32.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.4
Turnovers 11.4 13.2
Blocked Shots 5.9 3.7
Steals 7.8 6.2
Fouls 15.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN CHI
Total Possessions 85.1
Effective Scoring Chances 85.1 82.3
% of Possessions with MIN CHI
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.2% 25.6%
Player Fouled 18.2% 18.6%
Turnover 13.5% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN CHI
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 24.3%