Minnesota at New York: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Aug 19, 2025 7:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 3, Total Points: 166.5

Matchup Menu: MIN @ NYL

More Games From Aug 19, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN NYL
Points 92.1 87.1
Total Points   179.2
Points From 2-Pointers 48.6 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 33.4
Points From Free Throws 13.4 15.8
Shooting MIN NYL
Field Goals Made 34.3 30.1
Field Goals Attempted 73.1 68.5
Field Goal % 47.0% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 24.3 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 13.4 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 18.6
Free Throw % 81.6% 84.9%
Ball Control MIN NYL
Rebounds 38.5 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 11.0
Turnovers 10.4 14.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.2
Steals 7.4 5.4
Fouls 17.0 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN NYL
Total Possessions 83.4
Effective Scoring Chances 83.1 80.0
% of Possessions with MIN NYL
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.0% 20.4%
Turnover 12.4% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN NYL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 27.9%