New York at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Jul 28, 2026 10:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: New York by 5.5, Total Points: 182.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL LAS
Points 93.5 87.4
Total Points   180.9
Points From 2-Pointers 45.7 46.0
Points From 3-Pointers 31.7 27.9
Points From Free Throws 16.2 13.4
Shooting NYL LAS
Field Goals Made 33.4 32.3
Field Goals Attempted 69.5 70.3
Field Goal % 48.0% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 23.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 27.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 16.2 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 17.4
Free Throw % 85.3% 76.9%
Ball Control NYL LAS
Rebounds 42.8 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 32.1 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 7.8
Turnovers 13.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.8
Steals 6.7 6.7
Fouls 17.9 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL LAS
Total Possessions 84.6
Effective Scoring Chances 81.6 80.4
% of Possessions with NYL LAS
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 28.8%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.2%
Turnover 16.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL LAS
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 19.6%