Portland at Dallas: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Aug 25, 2026 8:00 pm - Arlington, TX
Odds: Dallas by 8.5, Total Points: 177.5

Matchup Menu: PDX @ DAL

More Games From Aug 25, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PDX DAL
Points 86.4 93.3
Total Points   179.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 50.2
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 25.6
Points From Free Throws 14.0 17.5
Shooting PDX DAL
Field Goals Made 31.2 33.6
Field Goals Attempted 69.6 68.5
Field Goal % 44.8% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 25.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 44.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 14.0 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 21.9
Free Throw % 80.4% 80.0%
Ball Control PDX DAL
Rebounds 35.8 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.7
Turnovers 12.1 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.4
Steals 5.5 6.4
Fouls 18.4 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PDX DAL
Total Possessions 82.6
Effective Scoring Chances 79.8 82.0
% of Possessions with PDX DAL
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 25.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.3%
Turnover 14.6% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PDX DAL
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 28.7%