Portland at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Friday Sep 18, 2026 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 12.5, Total Points: 161.5

Matchup Menu: PDX @ GSV

More Games From Sep 18, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PDX GSV
Points 77.6 88.2
Total Points   165.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 30.7 33.8
Points From Free Throws 14.8 17.4
Shooting PDX GSV
Field Goals Made 26.3 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 67.3
Field Goal % 41.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 14.8 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 22.1
Free Throw % 80.4% 78.7%
Ball Control PDX GSV
Rebounds 36.4 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 12.5
Turnovers 14.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.4
Steals 5.2 7.7
Fouls 18.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PDX GSV
Total Possessions 79.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 81.2
% of Possessions with PDX GSV
2 Point Attempt 36.2% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 34.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 23.5%
Turnover 18.0% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PDX GSV
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 31.3%