Atlanta at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jun 27, 2026 9:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Atlanta by 8.5, Total Points: 168.5

Matchup Menu: ATL @ SEA

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ATL SEA
Points 88.6 83.6
Total Points   172.2
Points From 2-Pointers 43.1 45.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 23.3
Points From Free Throws 21.9 15.1
Shooting ATL SEA
Field Goals Made 29.4 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 71.4 64.1
Field Goal % 41.2% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 21.9 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 19.2
Free Throw % 77.9% 78.4%
Ball Control ATL SEA
Rebounds 43.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 15.3 7.6
Turnovers 12.2 17.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.6
Steals 10.7 6.4
Fouls 15.9 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ATL SEA
Total Possessions 85.7
Effective Scoring Chances 88.8 76.1
% of Possessions with ATL SEA
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 24.7%
Player Fouled 21.8% 18.6%
Turnover 14.3% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 12.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ATL SEA
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.9% 21.2%