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We have opening and closing point spreads for 14977 games since the 2008 season. In those games, the Opening Favorite went 7379-7341-257 and covered the spread 50.1% of the time.
| Movement | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|
| -8 | 12 | 6-6-0 | 50.0% |
| -7.5 | 22 | 6-12-4 | 33.3% |
| -7 | 25 | 10-15-0 | 40.0% |
| -6.5 | 35 | 23-12-0 | 65.7% |
| -6 | 58 | 26-32-0 | 44.8% |
| -5.5 | 84 | 39-45-0 | 46.4% |
| -5 | 95 | 49-46-0 | 51.6% |
| -4.5 | 136 | 75-60-1 | 55.6% |
| -4 | 197 | 97-96-4 | 50.3% |
| -3.5 | 304 | 151-146-7 | 50.8% |
| -3 | 492 | 241-243-8 | 49.8% |
| -2.5 | 649 | 323-320-6 | 50.2% |
| -2 | 738 | 348-376-14 | 48.1% |
| -1.5 | 937 | 438-484-15 | 47.5% |
| -1 | 1241 | 579-644-18 | 47.3% |
| -0.5 | 1545 | 809-707-29 | 53.4% |
| 0 | 2302 | 1125-1135-42 | 49.8% |
| 0.5 | 1508 | 763-725-20 | 51.3% |
| 1 | 1133 | 578-535-20 | 51.9% |
| 1.5 | 858 | 423-423-12 | 50.0% |
| 2 | 730 | 350-363-17 | 49.1% |
| 2.5 | 530 | 276-249-5 | 52.6% |
| 3 | 388 | 183-199-6 | 47.9% |
| 3.5 | 314 | 144-159-11 | 47.5% |
| 4 | 198 | 113-79-6 | 58.9% |
| 4.5 | 158 | 77-75-6 | 50.7% |
| 5 | 103 | 48-55-0 | 46.6% |
| 5.5 | 71 | 28-40-3 | 41.2% |
| 6 | 59 | 28-31-0 | 47.5% |
| 6.5 | 26 | 8-17-1 | 32.0% |
| 7 | 12 | 5-6-1 | 45.5% |
| 7.5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 57.1% |
| 8 | 9 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% |
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