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NC State at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 12:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: NC State by 6.5, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: NCST @ ND

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Notre Dame +6.5 Official TR Pick Notre Dame 51% odds to cover
Notre Dame +6.5 Power Rating Model Notre Dame 59% odds to cover
Notre Dame +6.5 Decision Tree Notre Dame 51% odds to cover
Notre Dame +6.5 Predictive Ratings Notre Dame 53% odds to cover
NC State -6.5 Similar Games NC State 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record NCST adv ND
Season 16-17-1 15-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-1 7-11-0
Streak L2 L2
Last 5 1-4-0 1-4-0
Last 10 2-8-0 4-6-0
Home 7-8-1 8-9-0
Away 9-9-0 7-7-0

NC State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home NC Central -31.0 W by 48 +17.0
11/07 Home UAB -20.0 W by 24 +4.0
11/12 Home NC Greensboro -30.5 W by 46 +15.5
11/17 Home VCU -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
11/24 Neutral Seton Hall -7.5 L by 11 -18.5
11/25 Neutral Boise St -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
11/26 Neutral Texas -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
12/03 Away Auburn +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
12/06 Home NC Asheville -28.0 W by 12 -16.0
12/10 Home Liberty -12.5 W by 40 +27.5
12/13 Home Kansas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Neutral Texas So -34.0 W by 36 +2.0
12/21 Neutral Mississippi -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
12/31 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 13 +3.0
01/03 Home Virginia -4.0 L by 15 -19.0
01/06 Away Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
01/10 Away Florida St -4.5 W by 44 +39.5
01/17 Home Georgia Tech -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
01/20 Away Clemson +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
01/24 Away Pittsburgh -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
01/27 Home Syracuse -11.0 W by 20 +9.0
01/31 Away Wake Forest -6.0 W by 18 +12.0
02/03 Away SMU (Pick) W by 1 +1.0
02/07 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 9 0.0
02/09 Away Louisville +7.5 L by 41 -33.5
02/14 Home Miami -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
02/17 Home North Carolina -8.0 W by 24 +16.0
02/24 Away Virginia +6.5 L by 29 -22.5
02/28 Away Notre Dame -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
03/02 Home Duke +9.5 L by 29 -19.5
03/07 Home Stanford -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
03/11 Neutral Pittsburgh -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
03/12 Neutral Virginia +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
03/17 Neutral Texas -1.5 L by 2 -3.5

Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home LIU -15.0 W by 22 +7.0
11/07 Home Detroit Mercy -21.0 W by 32 +11.0
11/11 Home E Illinois -23.5 W by 20 -3.5
11/16 Away Ohio St +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
11/19 Home Bellarmine -23.0 W by 7 -16.0
11/24 Neutral Kansas +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/25 Neutral Rutgers -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
11/26 Neutral Houston +11.5 L by 10 +1.5
12/02 Home Missouri +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
12/05 Away TCU +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
12/10 Home Idaho -11.5 W by 15 +3.5
12/13 Home Evansville -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/21 Home Purdue FW -11.5 L by 3 -14.5
12/30 Away Stanford +6.5 W by 7 +13.5
01/02 Away California +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/10 Home Clemson +3.0 L by 15 -12.0
01/13 Home Miami +5.0 L by 12 -7.0
01/17 Away Virginia Tech +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
01/21 Away North Carolina +13.5 L by 22 -8.5
01/24 Home Boston College -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
01/27 Home Virginia +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
01/31 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 14 -9.0
02/04 Away Louisville +18.0 L by 11 +7.0
02/07 Home Florida St -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/10 Away SMU +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
02/14 Home Georgia Tech -6.0 W by 15 +9.0
02/21 Away Pittsburgh +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
02/24 Home Duke +16.5 L by 44 -27.5
02/28 Home NC State +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/04 Home Stanford +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
03/07 Away Boston College -1.5 L by 8 -9.5